The market-implied odds heavily favor no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the company's recent $4 billion Series L round and subsequent $1.8 billion debt financing that together bolstered its balance sheet and reduced urgency for public listing. As a leading data and AI platform provider with strong revenue growth, Databricks has prioritized private capital raises and internal milestones such as new product launches over immediate regulatory filings. No S-1 has been submitted as of mid-2026, aligning with analyst views that a filing is more likely in the second half of the year. Traders see limited near-term catalysts capable of accelerating the timeline, though favorable market conditions or an unexpected strategic shift could still compress the schedule.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2026年6月30日之前不上市 91.1%
2,000–2,500 億 2.2%
1,250–1,500 億 <1%
2500 億以上 <1%
$404,696 交易量
$404,696 交易量
低於 1,000 億
<1%
1,000–1,250 億美元
<1%
1,250–1,500 億
1%
1,500–1,750 億
<1%
175–200 億
<1%
2,000–2,500 億
2%
2500 億以上
1%
2026年6月30日之前不上市
91%
2026年6月30日之前不上市 91.1%
2,000–2,500 億 2.2%
1,250–1,500 億 <1%
2500 億以上 <1%
$404,696 交易量
$404,696 交易量
低於 1,000 億
<1%
1,000–1,250 億美元
<1%
1,250–1,500 億
1%
1,500–1,750 億
<1%
175–200 億
<1%
2,000–2,500 億
2%
2500 億以上
1%
2026年6月30日之前不上市
91%
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The market-implied odds heavily favor no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the company's recent $4 billion Series L round and subsequent $1.8 billion debt financing that together bolstered its balance sheet and reduced urgency for public listing. As a leading data and AI platform provider with strong revenue growth, Databricks has prioritized private capital raises and internal milestones such as new product launches over immediate regulatory filings. No S-1 has been submitted as of mid-2026, aligning with analyst views that a filing is more likely in the second half of the year. Traders see limited near-term catalysts capable of accelerating the timeline, though favorable market conditions or an unexpected strategic shift could still compress the schedule.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions