Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at an 84% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official timeline announcement in recent months. The data analytics and AI platform, bolstered by a February 2026 funding round raising approximately $5 billion at a $134 billion private valuation—up significantly from prior marks—along with $1.8 billion in January debt financing, has extended its runway substantially, diminishing near-term public listing urgency amid robust enterprise AI demand for its lakehouse architecture and MosaicML-powered models like DBRX. April reports pointing to a potential H2 2026 debut further solidify this positioning, with specific market cap buckets like 200–250B at just 2.1% reflecting uncertainty in public valuation multiples; watch for Q2 earnings or regulatory filings as key catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2026年6月30日之前不上市 94.7%
2,000–2,500 億 2.6%
1,250–1,500 億 1.4%
2500 億以上 <1%
$404,032 交易量
$404,032 交易量
2026-06-30
低於 1,000 億
<1%
1,000–1,250 億美元
<1%
1,250–1,500 億
1%
1,500–1,750 億
<1%
175–200 億
<1%
2,000–2,500 億
3%
2500 億以上
1%
2026年6月30日之前不上市
85%
2026年6月30日之前不上市 94.7%
2,000–2,500 億 2.6%
1,250–1,500 億 1.4%
2500 億以上 <1%
$404,032 交易量
$404,032 交易量
2026-06-30
低於 1,000 億
$33,251 交易量
<1%
1,000–1,250 億美元
$62,203 交易量
<1%
1,250–1,500 億
$26,692 交易量
1%
1,500–1,750 億
$59,911 交易量
<1%
175–200 億
$58,164 交易量
<1%
2,000–2,500 億
$21,122 交易量
3%
2500 億以上
$126,215 交易量
1%
2026年6月30日之前不上市
$16,474 交易量
85%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at an 84% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official timeline announcement in recent months. The data analytics and AI platform, bolstered by a February 2026 funding round raising approximately $5 billion at a $134 billion private valuation—up significantly from prior marks—along with $1.8 billion in January debt financing, has extended its runway substantially, diminishing near-term public listing urgency amid robust enterprise AI demand for its lakehouse architecture and MosaicML-powered models like DBRX. April reports pointing to a potential H2 2026 debut further solidify this positioning, with specific market cap buckets like 200–250B at just 2.1% reflecting uncertainty in public valuation multiples; watch for Q2 earnings or regulatory filings as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
交易量
$404,032結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at an 84% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official timeline announcement in recent months. The data analytics and AI platform, bolstered by a February 2026 funding round raising approximately $5 billion at a $134 billion private valuation—up significantly from prior marks—along with $1.8 billion in January debt financing, has extended its runway substantially, diminishing near-term public listing urgency amid robust enterprise AI demand for its lakehouse architecture and MosaicML-powered models like DBRX. April reports pointing to a potential H2 2026 debut further solidify this positioning, with specific market cap buckets like 200–250B at just 2.1% reflecting uncertainty in public valuation multiples; watch for Q2 earnings or regulatory filings as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$404,032結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at an 84% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official timeline announcement in recent months. The data analytics and AI platform, bolstered by a February 2026 funding round raising approximately $5 billion at a $134 billion private valuation—up significantly from prior marks—along with $1.8 billion in January debt financing, has extended its runway substantially, diminishing near-term public listing urgency amid robust enterprise AI demand for its lakehouse architecture and MosaicML-powered models like DBRX. April reports pointing to a potential H2 2026 debut further solidify this positioning, with specific market cap buckets like 200–250B at just 2.1% reflecting uncertainty in public valuation multiples; watch for Q2 earnings or regulatory filings as key catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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