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icon for E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?
政治·特朗普

E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?

icon for E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?
政治·特朗普

E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?

最新
2026-12-31
Polymarket

$1,141 交易量

Polymarket

12 月 31 日

$14 交易量

53%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of E. Jean Carroll between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Department of Justice opened a criminal investigation in May 2026 into E. Jean Carroll for possible perjury tied to funding disclosures and statements in her federal civil lawsuits against President Trump. Those cases produced jury verdicts holding Trump liable for sexual abuse and defamation, with Carroll receiving over $5.6 million in damages plus interest in July 2026 after Supreme Court review was declined. No federal charges have been filed as of late August 2026, and trader odds reflect uncertainty over whether the probe will advance to an indictment, given procedural requirements, evidentiary thresholds for perjury, and the administration's priorities. Resolution could hinge on DOJ actions before year-end or into 2027, with limited public updates since the initial reporting.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of E. Jean Carroll between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$1,141
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 5:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of E. Jean Carroll between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of E. Jean Carroll between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Department of Justice opened a criminal investigation in May 2026 into E. Jean Carroll for possible perjury tied to funding disclosures and statements in her federal civil lawsuits against President Trump. Those cases produced jury verdicts holding Trump liable for sexual abuse and defamation, with Carroll receiving over $5.6 million in damages plus interest in July 2026 after Supreme Court review was declined. No federal charges have been filed as of late August 2026, and trader odds reflect uncertainty over whether the probe will advance to an indictment, given procedural requirements, evidentiary thresholds for perjury, and the administration's priorities. Resolution could hinge on DOJ actions before year-end or into 2027, with limited public updates since the initial reporting.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of E. Jean Carroll between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$1,141
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 5:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of E. Jean Carroll between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12 月 31 日" at 54%, followed by "June 30" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?" is "12 月 31 日" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "June 30" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.