**Recent FBI actions underscore ongoing probes without imminent arrest.** Federal agents seized former Rep. Eric Swalwell's electronic devices at San Francisco International Airport on August 16 and executed a search warrant at his Washington, D.C., home the following day as part of a criminal investigation into multiple sexual misconduct allegations. Swalwell, who resigned from Congress in April 2026 after the claims surfaced, was neither detained nor charged during these operations. Separate inquiries by the Manhattan District Attorney’s Office and Los Angeles Sheriff’s Department remain active following reports from earlier this year. Device seizures and home searches represent standard early investigative steps in sexual assault cases, which typically require extensive evidence review, witness interviews, and legal review before any arrest decision. With roughly five weeks until the September 30 deadline and no public indication of impending charges, trader consensus heavily favors no arrest occurring in that narrow window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
21% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-30
是
21% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent FBI actions underscore ongoing probes without imminent arrest.** Federal agents seized former Rep. Eric Swalwell's electronic devices at San Francisco International Airport on August 16 and executed a search warrant at his Washington, D.C., home the following day as part of a criminal investigation into multiple sexual misconduct allegations. Swalwell, who resigned from Congress in April 2026 after the claims surfaced, was neither detained nor charged during these operations.
Separate inquiries by the Manhattan District Attorney’s Office and Los Angeles Sheriff’s Department remain active following reports from earlier this year. Device seizures and home searches represent standard early investigative steps in sexual assault cases, which typically require extensive evidence review, witness interviews, and legal review before any arrest decision. With roughly five weeks until the September 30 deadline and no public indication of impending charges, trader consensus heavily favors no arrest occurring in that narrow window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
交易量
$22結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent FBI actions underscore ongoing probes without imminent arrest.** Federal agents seized former Rep. Eric Swalwell's electronic devices at San Francisco International Airport on August 16 and executed a search warrant at his Washington, D.C., home the following day as part of a criminal investigation into multiple sexual misconduct allegations. Swalwell, who resigned from Congress in April 2026 after the claims surfaced, was neither detained nor charged during these operations.
Separate inquiries by the Manhattan District Attorney’s Office and Los Angeles Sheriff’s Department remain active following reports from earlier this year. Device seizures and home searches represent standard early investigative steps in sexual assault cases, which typically require extensive evidence review, witness interviews, and legal review before any arrest decision. With roughly five weeks until the September 30 deadline and no public indication of impending charges, trader consensus heavily favors no arrest occurring in that narrow window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$22結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent FBI actions underscore ongoing probes without imminent arrest.** Federal agents seized former Rep. Eric Swalwell's electronic devices at San Francisco International Airport on August 16 and executed a search warrant at his Washington, D.C., home the following day as part of a criminal investigation into multiple sexual misconduct allegations. Swalwell, who resigned from Congress in April 2026 after the claims surfaced, was neither detained nor charged during these operations. Separate inquiries by the Manhattan District Attorney’s Office and Los Angeles Sheriff’s Department remain active following reports from earlier this year. Device seizures and home searches represent standard early investigative steps in sexual assault cases, which typically require extensive evidence review, witness interviews, and legal review before any arrest decision. With roughly five weeks until the September 30 deadline and no public indication of impending charges, trader consensus heavily favors no arrest occurring in that narrow window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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