The overwhelming market-implied odds of 96.8% against a Freddie Mac IPO closing by June 30, 2026 reflect the tight remaining timeline and absence of finalized legislative or administrative steps needed to exit conservatorship and complete an offering. Recent commentary from FHFA Director William Pulte and investor Michael Burry points to decision-making still underway with realistic completion no earlier than late 2026 or 2027, given capital-ratio requirements and regulatory pathways. Trader consensus prices in these structural delays while noting that an expedited presidential directive or accelerated FHFA rulemaking in the next several weeks could still shift probabilities if concrete timelines emerge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於在2026年6月30日之前不會IPO 96.9%
1,500–2,000億 1.6%
3,000億+ <1%
低於1500億 <1%
$201,262 交易量
$201,262 交易量
2026-06-30
低於1500億
<1%
1,500–2,000億
2%
2,000–2,500億
<1%
2,500–3,000億
<1%
3,000億+
1%
在2026年6月30日之前不會IPO
97%
在2026年6月30日之前不會IPO 96.9%
1,500–2,000億 1.6%
3,000億+ <1%
低於1500億 <1%
$201,262 交易量
$201,262 交易量
2026-06-30
低於1500億
$81,902 交易量
<1%
1,500–2,000億
$32,469 交易量
2%
2,000–2,500億
$20,034 交易量
<1%
2,500–3,000億
$6,727 交易量
<1%
3,000億+
$12,169 交易量
1%
在2026年6月30日之前不會IPO
$47,961 交易量
97%
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The overwhelming market-implied odds of 96.8% against a Freddie Mac IPO closing by June 30, 2026 reflect the tight remaining timeline and absence of finalized legislative or administrative steps needed to exit conservatorship and complete an offering. Recent commentary from FHFA Director William Pulte and investor Michael Burry points to decision-making still underway with realistic completion no earlier than late 2026 or 2027, given capital-ratio requirements and regulatory pathways. Trader consensus prices in these structural delays while noting that an expedited presidential directive or accelerated FHFA rulemaking in the next several weeks could still shift probabilities if concrete timelines emerge.
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
交易量
$201,262結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The overwhelming market-implied odds of 96.8% against a Freddie Mac IPO closing by June 30, 2026 reflect the tight remaining timeline and absence of finalized legislative or administrative steps needed to exit conservatorship and complete an offering. Recent commentary from FHFA Director William Pulte and investor Michael Burry points to decision-making still underway with realistic completion no earlier than late 2026 or 2027, given capital-ratio requirements and regulatory pathways. Trader consensus prices in these structural delays while noting that an expedited presidential directive or accelerated FHFA rulemaking in the next several weeks could still shift probabilities if concrete timelines emerge.
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$201,262結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The overwhelming market-implied odds of 96.8% against a Freddie Mac IPO closing by June 30, 2026 reflect the tight remaining timeline and absence of finalized legislative or administrative steps needed to exit conservatorship and complete an offering. Recent commentary from FHFA Director William Pulte and investor Michael Burry points to decision-making still underway with realistic completion no earlier than late 2026 or 2027, given capital-ratio requirements and regulatory pathways. Trader consensus prices in these structural delays while noting that an expedited presidential directive or accelerated FHFA rulemaking in the next several weeks could still shift probabilities if concrete timelines emerge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions