**Traders assign near-certainty to a 29°C daily maximum in Beijing on August 27, 2026, reflecting consensus official forecasts and live observations under persistent cloud cover and recent rainfall.** Multiple models, including those aligned with Beijing Meteorological Bureau guidance, project a high near or at 29°C as weak cold-air influence and widespread precipitation suppress daytime heating below the late-August climatological average of roughly 29.5°C. Current surface reports show temperatures in the mid-20s with high humidity and light winds, consistent with this range. A rapid shift to clearer skies or stronger subsidence could push readings to 30–31°C before the observation window closes, though model consensus and ongoing rain make such a deviation unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日北京最高溫度？
8月27日北京最高溫度？
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$74,759 交易量
$74,759 交易量
2026-08-27
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$74,759 交易量
$74,759 交易量
2026-08-27
25°C or below
$5,136 交易量
No
26°C
$5,551 交易量
No
27°C
$8,021 交易量
No
28°C
$8,475 交易量
No
29°C
$22,925 交易量
Yes
30°C
$6,438 交易量
No
31°C
$7,989 交易量
No
32°C
$2,939 交易量
No
33°C
$2,457 交易量
No
34°C
$2,600 交易量
No
35°C or higher
$2,229 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders assign near-certainty to a 29°C daily maximum in Beijing on August 27, 2026, reflecting consensus official forecasts and live observations under persistent cloud cover and recent rainfall.** Multiple models, including those aligned with Beijing Meteorological Bureau guidance, project a high near or at 29°C as weak cold-air influence and widespread precipitation suppress daytime heating below the late-August climatological average of roughly 29.5°C. Current surface reports show temperatures in the mid-20s with high humidity and light winds, consistent with this range. A rapid shift to clearer skies or stronger subsidence could push readings to 30–31°C before the observation window closes, though model consensus and ongoing rain make such a deviation unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$74,759結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders assign near-certainty to a 29°C daily maximum in Beijing on August 27, 2026, reflecting consensus official forecasts and live observations under persistent cloud cover and recent rainfall.** Multiple models, including those aligned with Beijing Meteorological Bureau guidance, project a high near or at 29°C as weak cold-air influence and widespread precipitation suppress daytime heating below the late-August climatological average of roughly 29.5°C. Current surface reports show temperatures in the mid-20s with high humidity and light winds, consistent with this range. A rapid shift to clearer skies or stronger subsidence could push readings to 30–31°C before the observation window closes, though model consensus and ongoing rain make such a deviation unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$74,759結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
**Traders assign near-certainty to a 29°C daily maximum in Beijing on August 27, 2026, reflecting consensus official forecasts and live observations under persistent cloud cover and recent rainfall.** Multiple models, including those aligned with Beijing Meteorological Bureau guidance, project a high near or at 29°C as weak cold-air influence and widespread precipitation suppress daytime heating below the late-August climatological average of roughly 29.5°C. Current surface reports show temperatures in the mid-20s with high humidity and light winds, consistent with this range. A rapid shift to clearer skies or stronger subsidence could push readings to 30–31°C before the observation window closes, though model consensus and ongoing rain make such a deviation unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions