Short-range forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies show Chongqing under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring peak temperatures near 37–38°C on July 13. Ensemble guidance indicates modest variability in afternoon humidity and boundary-layer moisture that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C, keeping 36°C, 37°C, and 38°C outcomes closely bunched in trader pricing. Urban heat-island effects and upstream monsoon flow add further uncertainty to precise readings at official stations. Historical July extremes in the region have occasionally exceeded 40°C when subsidence strengthens, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures suggest such outliers remain low-probability. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月13日重慶氣溫最高？
7月13日重慶氣溫最高？
37°C 23%
38°C 21%
36°C 20%
39°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-07-13
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
11%
36°C
19%
37°C
23%
38°C
21%
39°C
15%
40°C
9%
41°C
3%
42°C or higher
4%
37°C 23%
38°C 21%
36°C 20%
39°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-07-13
32°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
33°C
$0 交易量
1%
34°C
$0 交易量
2%
35°C
$0 交易量
11%
36°C
$5 交易量
19%
37°C
$0 交易量
23%
38°C
$0 交易量
21%
39°C
$0 交易量
15%
40°C
$15 交易量
9%
41°C
$27 交易量
3%
42°C or higher
$27 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies show Chongqing under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring peak temperatures near 37–38°C on July 13. Ensemble guidance indicates modest variability in afternoon humidity and boundary-layer moisture that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C, keeping 36°C, 37°C, and 38°C outcomes closely bunched in trader pricing. Urban heat-island effects and upstream monsoon flow add further uncertainty to precise readings at official stations. Historical July extremes in the region have occasionally exceeded 40°C when subsidence strengthens, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures suggest such outliers remain low-probability. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$74結束日期
2026-07-13市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies show Chongqing under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring peak temperatures near 37–38°C on July 13. Ensemble guidance indicates modest variability in afternoon humidity and boundary-layer moisture that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C, keeping 36°C, 37°C, and 38°C outcomes closely bunched in trader pricing. Urban heat-island effects and upstream monsoon flow add further uncertainty to precise readings at official stations. Historical July extremes in the region have occasionally exceeded 40°C when subsidence strengthens, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures suggest such outliers remain low-probability. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$74結束日期
2026-07-13市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETShort-range forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies show Chongqing under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring peak temperatures near 37–38°C on July 13. Ensemble guidance indicates modest variability in afternoon humidity and boundary-layer moisture that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C, keeping 36°C, 37°C, and 38°C outcomes closely bunched in trader pricing. Urban heat-island effects and upstream monsoon flow add further uncertainty to precise readings at official stations. Historical July extremes in the region have occasionally exceeded 40°C when subsidence strengthens, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures suggest such outliers remain low-probability. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions