Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak highs in Chongqing clustering near 39–41 °C on July 16, with close market-implied odds reflecting modest uncertainty in maximum temperature. Subtropical high pressure, strong July solar insolation, and the region’s characteristic high humidity and urban heat-island effects support elevated readings, while scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could limit peaks. Historical midsummer baselines near 33–35 °C provide context for the current warmer pattern; traders weigh the latest high-resolution model outputs and any revisions in steering flow or moisture return as the primary near-term catalysts ahead of the daily observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月16日重慶氣溫最高？
7月16日重慶氣溫最高？
40°C 37%
39°C 28%
41°C 16%
38°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-16
35°C or below
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
5%
38°C
12%
39°C
28%
40°C
37%
41°C
16%
42°C
4%
43°C
2%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
40°C 37%
39°C 28%
41°C 16%
38°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-16
35°C or below
$1,036 交易量
1%
36°C
$159 交易量
1%
37°C
$393 交易量
5%
38°C
$483 交易量
12%
39°C
$742 交易量
28%
40°C
$813 交易量
37%
41°C
$810 交易量
16%
42°C
$837 交易量
4%
43°C
$484 交易量
2%
44°C
$287 交易量
<1%
45°C or higher
$415 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak highs in Chongqing clustering near 39–41 °C on July 16, with close market-implied odds reflecting modest uncertainty in maximum temperature. Subtropical high pressure, strong July solar insolation, and the region’s characteristic high humidity and urban heat-island effects support elevated readings, while scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could limit peaks. Historical midsummer baselines near 33–35 °C provide context for the current warmer pattern; traders weigh the latest high-resolution model outputs and any revisions in steering flow or moisture return as the primary near-term catalysts ahead of the daily observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$6,458結束日期
2026-07-16市場開放時間
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak highs in Chongqing clustering near 39–41 °C on July 16, with close market-implied odds reflecting modest uncertainty in maximum temperature. Subtropical high pressure, strong July solar insolation, and the region’s characteristic high humidity and urban heat-island effects support elevated readings, while scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could limit peaks. Historical midsummer baselines near 33–35 °C provide context for the current warmer pattern; traders weigh the latest high-resolution model outputs and any revisions in steering flow or moisture return as the primary near-term catalysts ahead of the daily observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,458結束日期
2026-07-16市場開放時間
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak highs in Chongqing clustering near 39–41 °C on July 16, with close market-implied odds reflecting modest uncertainty in maximum temperature. Subtropical high pressure, strong July solar insolation, and the region’s characteristic high humidity and urban heat-island effects support elevated readings, while scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could limit peaks. Historical midsummer baselines near 33–35 °C provide context for the current warmer pattern; traders weigh the latest high-resolution model outputs and any revisions in steering flow or moisture return as the primary near-term catalysts ahead of the daily observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions