**Trader consensus has converged on 16°C as the implied probability for Helsinki’s daily maximum temperature on September 16, reflecting consistent official forecasts and observations.** The Finnish Meteorological Institute reports afternoon peaks reaching 16°C under overcast skies with light rain, aligning with ensemble model guidance and climatological norms for mid-September in southern Finland. This outcome is supported by real-time surface observations and steering patterns that limit further warming. Scenarios that could alter resolution include localized station readings exceeding model consensus due to brief clearing or post-event data revisions by monitoring agencies, though current evidence indicates low likelihood of deviation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日赫爾辛基的最高溫度?
16°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$29,530 交易量
$29,530 交易量
11°C或以下
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C或以上
否
16°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$29,530 交易量
$29,530 交易量
11°C或以下
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus has converged on 16°C as the implied probability for Helsinki’s daily maximum temperature on September 16, reflecting consistent official forecasts and observations.** The Finnish Meteorological Institute reports afternoon peaks reaching 16°C under overcast skies with light rain, aligning with ensemble model guidance and climatological norms for mid-September in southern Finland. This outcome is supported by real-time surface observations and steering patterns that limit further warming. Scenarios that could alter resolution include localized station readings exceeding model consensus due to brief clearing or post-event data revisions by monitoring agencies, though current evidence indicates low likelihood of deviation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions