Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate Houston’s July 12 maximum will likely fall in the upper 80s to low 90s under a building subtropical ridge, light southerly flow, and typical July humidity that caps afternoon heating near the 94 °F climatological normal. Variable cloud cover, possible sea-breeze convergence, and isolated afternoon convection introduce the main spread, keeping the 88–91 °F bins tightly matched while muting odds for 94 °F or higher. Updated short-range model runs overnight and the official NWS forecast will refine boundary-layer mixing and thunderstorm timing ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月12日休斯敦的最高溫度?
90-91°F 40%
88-89°F 28%
92-93°F 19%
86-87°F 9%
華氏79度或以下
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
30%
90-91°F
40%
92-93°F
19%
94-95華氏度
3%
96-97°F
2%
98°F或更高
<1%
90-91°F 40%
88-89°F 28%
92-93°F 19%
86-87°F 9%
華氏79度或以下
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
30%
90-91°F
40%
92-93°F
19%
94-95華氏度
3%
96-97°F
2%
98°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate Houston’s July 12 maximum will likely fall in the upper 80s to low 90s under a building subtropical ridge, light southerly flow, and typical July humidity that caps afternoon heating near the 94 °F climatological normal. Variable cloud cover, possible sea-breeze convergence, and isolated afternoon convection introduce the main spread, keeping the 88–91 °F bins tightly matched while muting odds for 94 °F or higher. Updated short-range model runs overnight and the official NWS forecast will refine boundary-layer mixing and thunderstorm timing ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions