Strong seasonal warming in northern China, reinforced by an ongoing high-temperature event across Shandong province, underpins the near-certain market-implied odds for a daily maximum of at least 26 °C in Jinan on August 9. Official forecasts from sources such as the Shandong Meteorological Observatory and numerical models place the expected high between 30 °C and 36 °C under mostly sunny conditions with light northeasterly flow, consistent with August climatology where mean maxima reach 30–32 °C and extremes frequently exceed 35 °C. Recent observations of 37–40 °C readings in adjacent cities further support persistence of this pattern into the immediate forecast period. A rapid, unseasonal cold-air intrusion or widespread heavy precipitation could theoretically suppress temperatures below the threshold, though current model consensus shows no such development through the 24-hour window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日濟南氣溫最高？
8月9日濟南氣溫最高？
26°C or higher 99.3%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.3%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
16°C or below
$294 交易量
<1%
17°C
$255 交易量
<1%
18°C
$148 交易量
<1%
19°C
$279 交易量
<1%
20°C
$259 交易量
<1%
21°C
$259 交易量
<1%
22°C
$167 交易量
<1%
23°C
$264 交易量
<1%
24°C
$254 交易量
<1%
25°C
$186 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$777 交易量
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong seasonal warming in northern China, reinforced by an ongoing high-temperature event across Shandong province, underpins the near-certain market-implied odds for a daily maximum of at least 26 °C in Jinan on August 9. Official forecasts from sources such as the Shandong Meteorological Observatory and numerical models place the expected high between 30 °C and 36 °C under mostly sunny conditions with light northeasterly flow, consistent with August climatology where mean maxima reach 30–32 °C and extremes frequently exceed 35 °C. Recent observations of 37–40 °C readings in adjacent cities further support persistence of this pattern into the immediate forecast period. A rapid, unseasonal cold-air intrusion or widespread heavy precipitation could theoretically suppress temperatures below the threshold, though current model consensus shows no such development through the 24-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$3,143結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong seasonal warming in northern China, reinforced by an ongoing high-temperature event across Shandong province, underpins the near-certain market-implied odds for a daily maximum of at least 26 °C in Jinan on August 9. Official forecasts from sources such as the Shandong Meteorological Observatory and numerical models place the expected high between 30 °C and 36 °C under mostly sunny conditions with light northeasterly flow, consistent with August climatology where mean maxima reach 30–32 °C and extremes frequently exceed 35 °C. Recent observations of 37–40 °C readings in adjacent cities further support persistence of this pattern into the immediate forecast period. A rapid, unseasonal cold-air intrusion or widespread heavy precipitation could theoretically suppress temperatures below the threshold, though current model consensus shows no such development through the 24-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,143結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETStrong seasonal warming in northern China, reinforced by an ongoing high-temperature event across Shandong province, underpins the near-certain market-implied odds for a daily maximum of at least 26 °C in Jinan on August 9. Official forecasts from sources such as the Shandong Meteorological Observatory and numerical models place the expected high between 30 °C and 36 °C under mostly sunny conditions with light northeasterly flow, consistent with August climatology where mean maxima reach 30–32 °C and extremes frequently exceed 35 °C. Recent observations of 37–40 °C readings in adjacent cities further support persistence of this pattern into the immediate forecast period. A rapid, unseasonal cold-air intrusion or widespread heavy precipitation could theoretically suppress temperatures below the threshold, though current model consensus shows no such development through the 24-hour window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions