Recent numerical weather prediction models from European and global ensembles show a daytime maximum near 24°C in Milan on June 10 under weak high pressure with thundery showers and light northerly flow. This pattern produces modest instability and limited moisture advection, keeping the probability distribution narrow around 23–25°C and explaining the closely matched market-implied odds. Official station data will resolve the market, with any earlier clearing potentially allowing slight upside to 25°C while persistent cloud cover or showers would favor the lower outcomes. Historical early-June averages near 24–26°C provide context, but current steering patterns and instability limit significant deviations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Milan on June 10?
24°C 41%
23°C 32%
25°C 21%
26°C 4.5%
$22,767 交易量
$22,767 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
32%
24°C
41%
25°C
21%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 41%
23°C 32%
25°C 21%
26°C 4.5%
$22,767 交易量
$22,767 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
32%
24°C
41%
25°C
21%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction models from European and global ensembles show a daytime maximum near 24°C in Milan on June 10 under weak high pressure with thundery showers and light northerly flow. This pattern produces modest instability and limited moisture advection, keeping the probability distribution narrow around 23–25°C and explaining the closely matched market-implied odds. Official station data will resolve the market, with any earlier clearing potentially allowing slight upside to 25°C while persistent cloud cover or showers would favor the lower outcomes. Historical early-June averages near 24–26°C provide context, but current steering patterns and instability limit significant deviations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions