Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a June 11 high near 16–17 °C in Munich, with limited daytime heating from persistent cloud cover and a cooler northwesterly flow. This places the outcome below the month’s long-term average of about 21–22 °C. Minor differences among leading probabilities stem from subtle variations in the timing of any clearing skies or the strength of the thermal gradient, which numerical weather prediction runs continue to resolve differently within the 15–18 °C range. Updated model guidance expected later today will likely narrow the spread ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月11日慕尼黑最高溫度?
17°C 40%
16°C 35%
15°C 18%
18°C 6.6%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
18%
16°C
35%
17°C
40%
18°C
7%
19°C
3%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 40%
16°C 35%
15°C 18%
18°C 6.6%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
18%
16°C
35%
17°C
40%
18°C
7%
19°C
3%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a June 11 high near 16–17 °C in Munich, with limited daytime heating from persistent cloud cover and a cooler northwesterly flow. This places the outcome below the month’s long-term average of about 21–22 °C. Minor differences among leading probabilities stem from subtle variations in the timing of any clearing skies or the strength of the thermal gradient, which numerical weather prediction runs continue to resolve differently within the 15–18 °C range. Updated model guidance expected later today will likely narrow the spread ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions