Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs indicate a strong likelihood of San Francisco reaching at least 66°F on May 22, driven by a temporary ridge of high pressure that is suppressing the usual marine layer and allowing greater solar heating along the coast. Ensemble guidance shows afternoon temperatures climbing into the mid-to-upper 60s under mostly sunny skies, with light onshore winds limiting afternoon cooling compared to typical May climatology. This shift aligns with the market-implied 78.5% odds for 66°F or higher while keeping lower brackets at single-digit probabilities. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast update for any adjustments to the thermal profile or wind patterns ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 22?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 22?
66°F or higher 79%
64-65°F 13%
62-63°F 7%
60-61°F 2.0%
最新
最新
2026-05-22
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
13%
66°F or higher
79%
66°F or higher 79%
64-65°F 13%
62-63°F 7%
60-61°F 2.0%
最新
最新
2026-05-22
47°F or below
$212 交易量
<1%
48-49°F
$40 交易量
<1%
50-51°F
$71 交易量
<1%
52-53°F
$44 交易量
<1%
54-55°F
$62 交易量
1%
56-57°F
$47 交易量
1%
58-59°F
$57 交易量
1%
60-61°F
$65 交易量
2%
62-63°F
$67 交易量
7%
64-65°F
$204 交易量
13%
66°F or higher
$232 交易量
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs indicate a strong likelihood of San Francisco reaching at least 66°F on May 22, driven by a temporary ridge of high pressure that is suppressing the usual marine layer and allowing greater solar heating along the coast. Ensemble guidance shows afternoon temperatures climbing into the mid-to-upper 60s under mostly sunny skies, with light onshore winds limiting afternoon cooling compared to typical May climatology. This shift aligns with the market-implied 78.5% odds for 66°F or higher while keeping lower brackets at single-digit probabilities. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast update for any adjustments to the thermal profile or wind patterns ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 20, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
交易量
$1,101結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 20, 2026, 12:41 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs indicate a strong likelihood of San Francisco reaching at least 66°F on May 22, driven by a temporary ridge of high pressure that is suppressing the usual marine layer and allowing greater solar heating along the coast. Ensemble guidance shows afternoon temperatures climbing into the mid-to-upper 60s under mostly sunny skies, with light onshore winds limiting afternoon cooling compared to typical May climatology. This shift aligns with the market-implied 78.5% odds for 66°F or higher while keeping lower brackets at single-digit probabilities. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast update for any adjustments to the thermal profile or wind patterns ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,101結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 20, 2026, 12:41 AM ETLatest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs indicate a strong likelihood of San Francisco reaching at least 66°F on May 22, driven by a temporary ridge of high pressure that is suppressing the usual marine layer and allowing greater solar heating along the coast. Ensemble guidance shows afternoon temperatures climbing into the mid-to-upper 60s under mostly sunny skies, with light onshore winds limiting afternoon cooling compared to typical May climatology. This shift aligns with the market-implied 78.5% odds for 66°F or higher while keeping lower brackets at single-digit probabilities. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast update for any adjustments to the thermal profile or wind patterns ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions