Recent global forecast models, including those from the Korea Meteorological Administration, indicate a potential overnight low near 11–13°C in Seoul on May 24 due to clearer skies and a brief northerly airflow following earlier cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s closely clustered outcomes, where 11°C or below holds a slight edge amid ongoing ensemble uncertainty. Typical late-May climatology shows average minimums around 13°C, with historical variability driven by shifting pressure systems. Traders appear focused on the next 48-hour model updates and any revisions to cloud cover or wind patterns that could push temperatures above or below key thresholds like 12°C or 14°C.