National Weather Service forecasts for north Texas indicate a daily high of 80–82°F in Dallas on May 20, supported by moderate southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and a weak frontal boundary that restricted strong daytime heating. This alignment of atmospheric conditions underpins the market's strong 95.3% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome. Historical May averages near 84°F provide climatological context, yet current model consensus and limited intensification potential keep temperatures within the lower end of typical ranges. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest observational data and steering patterns, with minimal upside risk from unexpected warming. Resolution hinges on the official climatological report from Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport, where minor forecast revisions could still shift final readings within the narrow band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Dallas on May 20?
80-81°F 99.4%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$37,664 交易量
$37,664 交易量
80-81°F
99%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 99.4%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$37,664 交易量
$37,664 交易量
80-81°F
99%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 18, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts for north Texas indicate a daily high of 80–82°F in Dallas on May 20, supported by moderate southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and a weak frontal boundary that restricted strong daytime heating. This alignment of atmospheric conditions underpins the market's strong 95.3% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome. Historical May averages near 84°F provide climatological context, yet current model consensus and limited intensification potential keep temperatures within the lower end of typical ranges. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest observational data and steering patterns, with minimal upside risk from unexpected warming. Resolution hinges on the official climatological report from Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport, where minor forecast revisions could still shift final readings within the narrow band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions