National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a high-pressure ridge building over the Pacific Northwest, supporting daytime highs in the low to mid-70s for Seattle on May 22 under mostly sunny skies with light northerly flow. This pattern aligns with seasonal mid-May climatology, where average highs reach 65–68°F at Sea-Tac, yet recent model runs show reduced marine-layer influence and stronger subsidence warming that elevates temperatures well above the 64°F threshold. Trader consensus at 96.9% for 64°F or higher reflects these stable signals, though an unexpected onshore shift or coastal stratus could cap readings in the upper 50s and introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final NWS updates on May 21.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seattle on May 22?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 22?
64°F or higher 95.5%
62-63°F 2.6%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
最新
$33,317 交易量
最新
$33,317 交易量
2026-05-22
45°F or below
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
3%
64°F or higher
96%
64°F or higher 95.5%
62-63°F 2.6%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
最新
$33,317 交易量
最新
$33,317 交易量
2026-05-22
45°F or below
$952 交易量
<1%
46-47°F
$6,319 交易量
<1%
48-49°F
$6,560 交易量
<1%
50-51°F
$6,898 交易量
<1%
52-53°F
$455 交易量
<1%
54-55°F
$455 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$6,455 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$455 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$659 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$1,077 交易量
3%
64°F or higher
$3,066 交易量
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a high-pressure ridge building over the Pacific Northwest, supporting daytime highs in the low to mid-70s for Seattle on May 22 under mostly sunny skies with light northerly flow. This pattern aligns with seasonal mid-May climatology, where average highs reach 65–68°F at Sea-Tac, yet recent model runs show reduced marine-layer influence and stronger subsidence warming that elevates temperatures well above the 64°F threshold. Trader consensus at 96.9% for 64°F or higher reflects these stable signals, though an unexpected onshore shift or coastal stratus could cap readings in the upper 50s and introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final NWS updates on May 21.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$33,317結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a high-pressure ridge building over the Pacific Northwest, supporting daytime highs in the low to mid-70s for Seattle on May 22 under mostly sunny skies with light northerly flow. This pattern aligns with seasonal mid-May climatology, where average highs reach 65–68°F at Sea-Tac, yet recent model runs show reduced marine-layer influence and stronger subsidence warming that elevates temperatures well above the 64°F threshold. Trader consensus at 96.9% for 64°F or higher reflects these stable signals, though an unexpected onshore shift or coastal stratus could cap readings in the upper 50s and introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final NWS updates on May 21.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$33,317結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a high-pressure ridge building over the Pacific Northwest, supporting daytime highs in the low to mid-70s for Seattle on May 22 under mostly sunny skies with light northerly flow. This pattern aligns with seasonal mid-May climatology, where average highs reach 65–68°F at Sea-Tac, yet recent model runs show reduced marine-layer influence and stronger subsidence warming that elevates temperatures well above the 64°F threshold. Trader consensus at 96.9% for 64°F or higher reflects these stable signals, though an unexpected onshore shift or coastal stratus could cap readings in the upper 50s and introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final NWS updates on May 21.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions