Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a daily maximum temperature in Houston on May 22 near the low-to-mid 80s, driven by a cooler-than-normal air mass and increased cloud cover ahead of a frontal passage. Ensemble runs show modest spread around 82–86 °F, reflecting uncertainty in timing of afternoon convection that could cap peak readings. Historical climatology places the May 22 normal high at 89 °F, so current conditions represent a notable negative anomaly. With resolution just two days away, traders are closely monitoring the next 12–24-hour forecast updates from the Houston/Galveston NWS office for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering flow that would favor the 82–83 °F or 84–85 °F bins now carrying the highest implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Houston on May 22?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 22?
84-85°F 29%
82-83°F 27%
86-87°F 19%
80-81°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-05-22
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
11%
90°F or higher
4%
84-85°F 29%
82-83°F 27%
86-87°F 19%
80-81°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-05-22
71°F or below
$564 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$45 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$309 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$2 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$22 交易量
2%
80-81°F
$79 交易量
13%
82-83°F
$562 交易量
27%
84-85°F
$268 交易量
29%
86-87°F
$106 交易量
19%
88-89°F
$577 交易量
11%
90°F or higher
$604 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a daily maximum temperature in Houston on May 22 near the low-to-mid 80s, driven by a cooler-than-normal air mass and increased cloud cover ahead of a frontal passage. Ensemble runs show modest spread around 82–86 °F, reflecting uncertainty in timing of afternoon convection that could cap peak readings. Historical climatology places the May 22 normal high at 89 °F, so current conditions represent a notable negative anomaly. With resolution just two days away, traders are closely monitoring the next 12–24-hour forecast updates from the Houston/Galveston NWS office for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering flow that would favor the 82–83 °F or 84–85 °F bins now carrying the highest implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 20, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
交易量
$3,098結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 20, 2026, 12:27 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a daily maximum temperature in Houston on May 22 near the low-to-mid 80s, driven by a cooler-than-normal air mass and increased cloud cover ahead of a frontal passage. Ensemble runs show modest spread around 82–86 °F, reflecting uncertainty in timing of afternoon convection that could cap peak readings. Historical climatology places the May 22 normal high at 89 °F, so current conditions represent a notable negative anomaly. With resolution just two days away, traders are closely monitoring the next 12–24-hour forecast updates from the Houston/Galveston NWS office for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering flow that would favor the 82–83 °F or 84–85 °F bins now carrying the highest implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,098結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 20, 2026, 12:27 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a daily maximum temperature in Houston on May 22 near the low-to-mid 80s, driven by a cooler-than-normal air mass and increased cloud cover ahead of a frontal passage. Ensemble runs show modest spread around 82–86 °F, reflecting uncertainty in timing of afternoon convection that could cap peak readings. Historical climatology places the May 22 normal high at 89 °F, so current conditions represent a notable negative anomaly. With resolution just two days away, traders are closely monitoring the next 12–24-hour forecast updates from the Houston/Galveston NWS office for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering flow that would favor the 82–83 °F or 84–85 °F bins now carrying the highest implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions