Current long-range forecast models indicate that Shanghai’s overnight low on May 24 will most likely settle near 19–21 °C, aligning with the market’s highest-implied probabilities for those exact buckets. In Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate, late-May minimum temperatures typically average around 17 °C, yet recent ensemble guidance from extended-range systems shows a stable high-pressure pattern suppressing stronger cooling and keeping readings a few degrees above the climatological baseline. Traders are therefore pricing modest warming relative to historical norms while still assigning meaningful weight to 20 °C and 22 °C outcomes, reflecting the inherent spread in model solutions this far ahead. Refined daily forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles expected in the coming 72 hours will likely narrow the range and drive further adjustments in these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 24?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 24?
21°C 41%
22°C 27%
20°C 24%
19°C 21%
最新
最新
2026-05-24
14°C or below
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
4%
17°C
8%
18°C
19%
19°C
21%
20°C
24%
21°C
39%
22°C
19%
23°C
14%
24°C or higher
4%
21°C 41%
22°C 27%
20°C 24%
19°C 21%
最新
最新
2026-05-24
14°C or below
$243 交易量
1%
15°C
$253 交易量
5%
16°C
$149 交易量
4%
17°C
$10 交易量
8%
18°C
$0 交易量
19%
19°C
$0 交易量
21%
20°C
$0 交易量
24%
21°C
$40 交易量
39%
22°C
$14 交易量
19%
23°C
$66 交易量
14%
24°C or higher
$109 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current long-range forecast models indicate that Shanghai’s overnight low on May 24 will most likely settle near 19–21 °C, aligning with the market’s highest-implied probabilities for those exact buckets. In Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate, late-May minimum temperatures typically average around 17 °C, yet recent ensemble guidance from extended-range systems shows a stable high-pressure pattern suppressing stronger cooling and keeping readings a few degrees above the climatological baseline. Traders are therefore pricing modest warming relative to historical norms while still assigning meaningful weight to 20 °C and 22 °C outcomes, reflecting the inherent spread in model solutions this far ahead. Refined daily forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles expected in the coming 72 hours will likely narrow the range and drive further adjustments in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$883結束日期
2026-05-24市場開放時間
May 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current long-range forecast models indicate that Shanghai’s overnight low on May 24 will most likely settle near 19–21 °C, aligning with the market’s highest-implied probabilities for those exact buckets. In Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate, late-May minimum temperatures typically average around 17 °C, yet recent ensemble guidance from extended-range systems shows a stable high-pressure pattern suppressing stronger cooling and keeping readings a few degrees above the climatological baseline. Traders are therefore pricing modest warming relative to historical norms while still assigning meaningful weight to 20 °C and 22 °C outcomes, reflecting the inherent spread in model solutions this far ahead. Refined daily forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles expected in the coming 72 hours will likely narrow the range and drive further adjustments in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$883結束日期
2026-05-24市場開放時間
May 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent long-range forecast models indicate that Shanghai’s overnight low on May 24 will most likely settle near 19–21 °C, aligning with the market’s highest-implied probabilities for those exact buckets. In Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate, late-May minimum temperatures typically average around 17 °C, yet recent ensemble guidance from extended-range systems shows a stable high-pressure pattern suppressing stronger cooling and keeping readings a few degrees above the climatological baseline. Traders are therefore pricing modest warming relative to historical norms while still assigning meaningful weight to 20 °C and 22 °C outcomes, reflecting the inherent spread in model solutions this far ahead. Refined daily forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles expected in the coming 72 hours will likely narrow the range and drive further adjustments in these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions