Recent forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicates a passing frontal system will bring increased cloud cover and scattered showers to Tokyo on May 22, suppressing daytime heating and positioning the maximum temperature near 17°C. Ensemble runs show limited variability around this value, with historical May climatology placing average highs near 23°C, underscoring the transient cool anomaly. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of short-range numerical weather prediction outputs over longer-term seasonal norms, while monitoring any last-minute adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could shift the outcome by a degree or two.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 22?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 22?
17°C 41%
16°C 24%
18°C 23%
19°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-05-22
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
24%
17°C
41%
18°C
23%
19°C
7%
20°C
3%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 41%
16°C 24%
18°C 23%
19°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-05-22
11°C or below
$655 交易量
<1%
12°C
$548 交易量
<1%
13°C
$852 交易量
<1%
14°C
$838 交易量
1%
15°C
$826 交易量
5%
16°C
$412 交易量
24%
17°C
$505 交易量
41%
18°C
$357 交易量
23%
19°C
$188 交易量
7%
20°C
$286 交易量
3%
21°C or higher
$380 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicates a passing frontal system will bring increased cloud cover and scattered showers to Tokyo on May 22, suppressing daytime heating and positioning the maximum temperature near 17°C. Ensemble runs show limited variability around this value, with historical May climatology placing average highs near 23°C, underscoring the transient cool anomaly. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of short-range numerical weather prediction outputs over longer-term seasonal norms, while monitoring any last-minute adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could shift the outcome by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$3,479結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicates a passing frontal system will bring increased cloud cover and scattered showers to Tokyo on May 22, suppressing daytime heating and positioning the maximum temperature near 17°C. Ensemble runs show limited variability around this value, with historical May climatology placing average highs near 23°C, underscoring the transient cool anomaly. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of short-range numerical weather prediction outputs over longer-term seasonal norms, while monitoring any last-minute adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could shift the outcome by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,479結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicates a passing frontal system will bring increased cloud cover and scattered showers to Tokyo on May 22, suppressing daytime heating and positioning the maximum temperature near 17°C. Ensemble runs show limited variability around this value, with historical May climatology placing average highs near 23°C, underscoring the transient cool anomaly. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of short-range numerical weather prediction outputs over longer-term seasonal norms, while monitoring any last-minute adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could shift the outcome by a degree or two.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions