Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a highest temperature near 23°C in London today under a weak Atlantic ridge that has replaced the southerly flow behind the 26.6°C reading at Kew Gardens on May 19. This pattern favors increased cloud cover and reduced surface insolation, holding daytime maxima close to late-May climatological norms while limiting upside risk from transient clear breaks. UK and European ensembles cluster tightly between 22–24°C, aligning with the market’s heavy concentration of implied probability on those three outcomes ahead of official verification at London City Airport. Traders appear to be weighting short-range forecast stability over historical spring variability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月21日倫敦的最高溫度?
23°C 45%
24°C 25%
22°C 24%
25°C 7%
$31,585 交易量
$31,585 交易量
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
24%
23°C
45%
24°C
25%
25°C
7%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
23°C 45%
24°C 25%
22°C 24%
25°C 7%
$31,585 交易量
$31,585 交易量
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
24%
23°C
45%
24°C
25%
25°C
7%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a highest temperature near 23°C in London today under a weak Atlantic ridge that has replaced the southerly flow behind the 26.6°C reading at Kew Gardens on May 19. This pattern favors increased cloud cover and reduced surface insolation, holding daytime maxima close to late-May climatological norms while limiting upside risk from transient clear breaks. UK and European ensembles cluster tightly between 22–24°C, aligning with the market’s heavy concentration of implied probability on those three outcomes ahead of official verification at London City Airport. Traders appear to be weighting short-range forecast stability over historical spring variability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions