Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance points to a narrow temperature range for London on May 22, with peak values most likely between 26–28 °C under a building ridge of high pressure. This setup allows moderate southerly flow and increasing solar insolation, yet scattered cloud and a light northeasterly breeze will limit extreme heating and keep the distribution tightly clustered. Historical May maxima near 25 °C provide a useful baseline, while the current model consensus favors the market’s concentration on 27 °C as the single most probable outcome. Traders are weighting short-range stability and resolution criteria at London City Airport, where even modest shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could nudge the verified high by 1–2 °C before official confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月22日倫敦的最高溫度?
27°C 36%
28°C 27%
26°C 22%
25°C 7.4%
$15,098 交易量
$15,098 交易量
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
22%
27°C
36%
28°C
27%
29°C
5%
30°C或以上
2%
27°C 36%
28°C 27%
26°C 22%
25°C 7.4%
$15,098 交易量
$15,098 交易量
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
22%
27°C
36%
28°C
27%
29°C
5%
30°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance points to a narrow temperature range for London on May 22, with peak values most likely between 26–28 °C under a building ridge of high pressure. This setup allows moderate southerly flow and increasing solar insolation, yet scattered cloud and a light northeasterly breeze will limit extreme heating and keep the distribution tightly clustered. Historical May maxima near 25 °C provide a useful baseline, while the current model consensus favors the market’s concentration on 27 °C as the single most probable outcome. Traders are weighting short-range stability and resolution criteria at London City Airport, where even modest shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could nudge the verified high by 1–2 °C before official confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions