Recent model runs from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a strong subtropical high dominating the region, favoring peak temperatures of 36–37°C in Taipei on August 4 through enhanced southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Urban heat island effects amplify daytime highs, while ensemble variability in the GFS and ECMWF systems centers on minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that could tip the daily maximum by 1°C. With no typhoon or frontal passages expected in the short term, historical August climatology supports this narrow range, though afternoon convection remains the key uncertainty for traders monitoring updated guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日臺北氣溫最高？
8月4日臺北氣溫最高？
37°C 37%
36°C 31%
35°C 20%
34°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
8%
35°C
20%
36°C
31%
37°C
27%
38°C
5%
39°C或以上
3%
37°C 37%
36°C 31%
35°C 20%
34°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
29°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
30°C
$10 交易量
<1%
31°C
$40 交易量
<1%
32°C
$61 交易量
2%
33°C
$25 交易量
2%
34°C
$60 交易量
8%
35°C
$20 交易量
20%
36°C
$18 交易量
31%
37°C
$38 交易量
27%
38°C
$168 交易量
5%
39°C或以上
$80 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a strong subtropical high dominating the region, favoring peak temperatures of 36–37°C in Taipei on August 4 through enhanced southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Urban heat island effects amplify daytime highs, while ensemble variability in the GFS and ECMWF systems centers on minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that could tip the daily maximum by 1°C. With no typhoon or frontal passages expected in the short term, historical August climatology supports this narrow range, though afternoon convection remains the key uncertainty for traders monitoring updated guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$521結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a strong subtropical high dominating the region, favoring peak temperatures of 36–37°C in Taipei on August 4 through enhanced southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Urban heat island effects amplify daytime highs, while ensemble variability in the GFS and ECMWF systems centers on minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that could tip the daily maximum by 1°C. With no typhoon or frontal passages expected in the short term, historical August climatology supports this narrow range, though afternoon convection remains the key uncertainty for traders monitoring updated guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$521結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent model runs from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a strong subtropical high dominating the region, favoring peak temperatures of 36–37°C in Taipei on August 4 through enhanced southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Urban heat island effects amplify daytime highs, while ensemble variability in the GFS and ECMWF systems centers on minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that could tip the daily maximum by 1°C. With no typhoon or frontal passages expected in the short term, historical August climatology supports this narrow range, though afternoon convection remains the key uncertainty for traders monitoring updated guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions