The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages has become the dominant factor behind the 70.5% market-implied probability for a 200-hour-plus run without failure. Three units have already surpassed 50 continuous hours of autonomous operation at human parity speeds using the Helix-02 neural network and fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, far exceeding the original eight-hour target with no interventions required. April’s production ramp to one robot per hour, backed by more than 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and rigorous end-of-line stress testing, has strengthened trader confidence in high mean-time-between-failures. Lingering uncertainty around gripper wear and scheduled battery swaps supports the 23.5% odds on the 100-200-hour bracket ahead of the May 21 resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於200 小時以上 71%
100-200 小時 23%
50-100小時 7%
$70,061 交易量
$70,061 交易量
2026-05-21
50-100小時
7%
100-200 小時
23%
200 小時以上
71%
200 小時以上 71%
100-200 小時 23%
50-100小時 7%
$70,061 交易量
$70,061 交易量
2026-05-21
50-100小時
$4,399 交易量
7%
100-200 小時
$2,633 交易量
23%
200 小時以上
$11,225 交易量
71%
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages has become the dominant factor behind the 70.5% market-implied probability for a 200-hour-plus run without failure. Three units have already surpassed 50 continuous hours of autonomous operation at human parity speeds using the Helix-02 neural network and fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, far exceeding the original eight-hour target with no interventions required. April’s production ramp to one robot per hour, backed by more than 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and rigorous end-of-line stress testing, has strengthened trader confidence in high mean-time-between-failures. Lingering uncertainty around gripper wear and scheduled battery swaps supports the 23.5% odds on the 100-200-hour bracket ahead of the May 21 resolution.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
交易量
$70,061結束日期
2026-05-21市場開放時間
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages has become the dominant factor behind the 70.5% market-implied probability for a 200-hour-plus run without failure. Three units have already surpassed 50 continuous hours of autonomous operation at human parity speeds using the Helix-02 neural network and fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, far exceeding the original eight-hour target with no interventions required. April’s production ramp to one robot per hour, backed by more than 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and rigorous end-of-line stress testing, has strengthened trader confidence in high mean-time-between-failures. Lingering uncertainty around gripper wear and scheduled battery swaps supports the 23.5% odds on the 100-200-hour bracket ahead of the May 21 resolution.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$70,061結束日期
2026-05-21市場開放時間
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages has become the dominant factor behind the 70.5% market-implied probability for a 200-hour-plus run without failure. Three units have already surpassed 50 continuous hours of autonomous operation at human parity speeds using the Helix-02 neural network and fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, far exceeding the original eight-hour target with no interventions required. April’s production ramp to one robot per hour, backed by more than 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and rigorous end-of-line stress testing, has strengthened trader confidence in high mean-time-between-failures. Lingering uncertainty around gripper wear and scheduled battery swaps supports the 23.5% odds on the 100-200-hour bracket ahead of the May 21 resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions