Recent April FOMC deliberations produced four dissents—the highest tally since 1992—driven by three regional presidents objecting to the retained easing bias in the policy statement while one governor favored an immediate 25-basis-point cut. With the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75 percent and incoming data showing solid growth alongside contained inflation, traders assign a 73.5 percent implied probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 meeting. This pricing reflects expectations that the committee will maintain its current hold posture without contentious language shifts, reducing the scope for renewed divisions ahead of the next dot plot and economic projections.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0 74%
1 17%
2 7%
3 6%
$19,356 交易量
$19,356 交易量
0
74%
1
15%
2
7%
3
6%
4+
2%
0 74%
1 17%
2 7%
3 6%
$19,356 交易量
$19,356 交易量
0
74%
1
15%
2
7%
3
6%
4+
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April FOMC deliberations produced four dissents—the highest tally since 1992—driven by three regional presidents objecting to the retained easing bias in the policy statement while one governor favored an immediate 25-basis-point cut. With the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75 percent and incoming data showing solid growth alongside contained inflation, traders assign a 73.5 percent implied probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 meeting. This pricing reflects expectations that the committee will maintain its current hold posture without contentious language shifts, reducing the scope for renewed divisions ahead of the next dot plot and economic projections.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions