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政治·Fed

傑羅姆·鮑威爾（ Jerome Powell ）在…前從聯儲局

icon for 傑羅姆·鮑威爾（ Jerome Powell ）在…前從聯儲局
政治·Fed

傑羅姆·鮑威爾（ Jerome Powell ）在…前從聯儲局

$323,627 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$323,627 交易量

Polymarket

5月30日

$200,831 交易量

2%

12月31日

$122,796 交易量

46%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s decision to remain on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after stepping down as chair on May 15 has anchored trader expectations for the “Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?” market, with December 31, 2026, priced at 44 cents. His separate 14-year governor term runs through January 2028, and the April 29 announcement—explicitly tied to defending institutional independence amid ongoing administration pressure—has shifted focus from an immediate exit to a more extended tenure. Market-implied odds reflect the absence of resignation signals or health-related developments in the past week, while the Senate confirmation process for successor Kevin Warsh and any escalation in political scrutiny represent the key near-term variables that could alter the probability path.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$323,627
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s decision to remain on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after stepping down as chair on May 15 has anchored trader expectations for the “Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?” market, with December 31, 2026, priced at 44 cents. His separate 14-year governor term runs through January 2028, and the April 29 announcement—explicitly tied to defending institutional independence amid ongoing administration pressure—has shifted focus from an immediate exit to a more extended tenure. Market-implied odds reflect the absence of resignation signals or health-related developments in the past week, while the Senate confirmation process for successor Kevin Warsh and any escalation in political scrutiny represent the key near-term variables that could alter the probability path.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$323,627
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"傑羅姆·鮑威爾（ Jerome Powell ）在…前從聯儲局" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 46%, followed by "5月30日" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "傑羅姆·鮑威爾（ Jerome Powell ）在…前從聯儲局" has generated $323.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "傑羅姆·鮑威爾（ Jerome Powell ）在…前從聯儲局," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "傑羅姆·鮑威爾（ Jerome Powell ）在…前從聯儲局" is "12月31日" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5月30日" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "傑羅姆·鮑威爾（ Jerome Powell ）在…前從聯儲局" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.