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icon for SpaceX首次公開募股的牽頭銀行？
科技·IPO

SpaceX首次公開募股的牽頭銀行？

icon for SpaceX首次公開募股的牽頭銀行？
科技·IPO

SpaceX首次公開募股的牽頭銀行？

高盛 74%

摩根士丹利 24%

美國銀行 2.0%

摩根大通 <1%

Polymarket

$1,778,430 交易量

高盛 74%

摩根士丹利 24%

美國銀行 2.0%

摩根大通 <1%

Polymarket

$1,778,430 交易量

icon for 高盛

高盛

$266,936 交易量

74%

icon for 摩根士丹利

摩根士丹利

$356,857 交易量

24%

icon for 美國銀行

美國銀行

$81,051 交易量

2%

icon for 摩根大通

摩根大通

$317,101 交易量

<1%

icon for 花旗集團

花旗集團

$197,793 交易量

<1%

icon for 瑞銀集團

瑞銀集團

$104,031 交易量

<1%

icon for 巴克萊

巴克萊

$69,143 交易量

<1%

icon for 德意志銀行

德意志銀行

$315,422 交易量

<1%

icon for 富國銀行

富國銀行

$70,096 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent April 2026 reporting on SpaceX’s code-named Project Apex IPO has solidified a massive 21-bank syndicate, positioning Goldman Sachs as the clear frontrunner at 74% implied probability while Morgan Stanley holds 23.5%. Goldman benefits from its established track record leading high-profile technology listings and deep institutional relationships that often secure top bookrunner roles in oversized deals. Morgan Stanley’s closer proximity to Elon Musk and documented coordination of early syndicate meetings provide a credible path to leadership, yet trader consensus currently favors Goldman’s broader execution capabilities. With the IPO targeting a potential $1.75 trillion valuation and possible June roadshow, any final prospectus details or last-minute mandate shifts could quickly reprice the remaining low-single-digit outcomes for Bank of America, JPMorgan, and others.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,778,430
結束日期
2027-12-31
市場開放時間
Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent April 2026 reporting on SpaceX’s code-named Project Apex IPO has solidified a massive 21-bank syndicate, positioning Goldman Sachs as the clear frontrunner at 74% implied probability while Morgan Stanley holds 23.5%. Goldman benefits from its established track record leading high-profile technology listings and deep institutional relationships that often secure top bookrunner roles in oversized deals. Morgan Stanley’s closer proximity to Elon Musk and documented coordination of early syndicate meetings provide a credible path to leadership, yet trader consensus currently favors Goldman’s broader execution capabilities. With the IPO targeting a potential $1.75 trillion valuation and possible June roadshow, any final prospectus details or last-minute mandate shifts could quickly reprice the remaining low-single-digit outcomes for Bank of America, JPMorgan, and others.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,778,430
結束日期
2027-12-31
市場開放時間
Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"SpaceX首次公開募股的牽頭銀行？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "高盛" at 74%, followed by "摩根士丹利" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "SpaceX首次公開募股的牽頭銀行？" has generated $1.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "SpaceX首次公開募股的牽頭銀行？," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SpaceX首次公開募股的牽頭銀行？" is "高盛" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "摩根士丹利" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SpaceX首次公開募股的牽頭銀行？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.