Goldman Sachs leads trader consensus at 64% implied probability for serving as lead bank on SpaceX’s upcoming IPO, ahead of Morgan Stanley at 30%, because April 2026 reporting confirmed both as active bookrunners in the massive 21-bank syndicate assembled for the “Project Apex” offering alongside JPMorgan, Bank of America, and Citigroup. Goldman’s edge stems from its established track record handling high-profile technology and aerospace financings plus prior mandates with SpaceX, while Morgan Stanley benefits from long-standing relationships with Elon Musk, including its role on Tesla’s 2010 IPO. The timeline has accelerated with public filing possible as early as this week and pricing targeted for mid-June, sharpening focus on which bank will ultimately hold the lead-left position amid the largest IPO in history.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於高盛 68%
摩根士丹利 27%
美國銀行 4.3%
摩根大通 <1%
$1,775,444 交易量
$1,775,444 交易量

高盛
68%

摩根士丹利
27%

美國銀行
4%

摩根大通
<1%

花旗集團
<1%

瑞銀集團
<1%

巴克萊
<1%

德意志銀行
<1%

富國銀行
<1%
高盛 68%
摩根士丹利 27%
美國銀行 4.3%
摩根大通 <1%
$1,775,444 交易量
$1,775,444 交易量

高盛
68%

摩根士丹利
27%

美國銀行
4%

摩根大通
<1%

花旗集團
<1%

瑞銀集團
<1%

巴克萊
<1%

德意志銀行
<1%

富國銀行
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Goldman Sachs leads trader consensus at 64% implied probability for serving as lead bank on SpaceX’s upcoming IPO, ahead of Morgan Stanley at 30%, because April 2026 reporting confirmed both as active bookrunners in the massive 21-bank syndicate assembled for the “Project Apex” offering alongside JPMorgan, Bank of America, and Citigroup. Goldman’s edge stems from its established track record handling high-profile technology and aerospace financings plus prior mandates with SpaceX, while Morgan Stanley benefits from long-standing relationships with Elon Musk, including its role on Tesla’s 2010 IPO. The timeline has accelerated with public filing possible as early as this week and pricing targeted for mid-June, sharpening focus on which bank will ultimately hold the lead-left position amid the largest IPO in history.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions