Current forecasts from South African meteorological sources and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 10°C overnight in Cape Town on August 21, 2026, with official station readings and ensemble guidance showing stabilization around 9–11°C under clear to partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds. This aligns with typical late-winter climatology for the region, where nocturnal radiative cooling under high pressure produces lows in that narrow range rather than deeper cold outbreaks. Market consensus at 91.5% for 10°C reflects traders' aggregation of real-time model runs and early observations confirming no significant deviation. A sharper cold front or unexpected wind shift could push readings below 9°C, while stronger mixing or delayed clearing might hold the minimum at 11°C or higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦8月21日的最低溫度？
開普敦8月21日的最低溫度？
10°C 100.0%
9°C 10%
8°C 1.0%
5°C or below <1%
$2,138 交易量
$2,138 交易量
2026-08-21
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
9°C 10%
8°C 1.0%
5°C or below <1%
$2,138 交易量
$2,138 交易量
2026-08-21
5°C or below
$187 交易量
No
6°C
$193 交易量
No
7°C
$344 交易量
No
8°C
$87 交易量
No
9°C
$173 交易量
No
10°C
$330 交易量
Yes
11°C
$267 交易量
No
12°C
$152 交易量
No
13°C
$131 交易量
No
14°C
$137 交易量
No
15°C or higher
$137 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from South African meteorological sources and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 10°C overnight in Cape Town on August 21, 2026, with official station readings and ensemble guidance showing stabilization around 9–11°C under clear to partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds. This aligns with typical late-winter climatology for the region, where nocturnal radiative cooling under high pressure produces lows in that narrow range rather than deeper cold outbreaks. Market consensus at 91.5% for 10°C reflects traders' aggregation of real-time model runs and early observations confirming no significant deviation. A sharper cold front or unexpected wind shift could push readings below 9°C, while stronger mixing or delayed clearing might hold the minimum at 11°C or higher.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
交易量
$2,138結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from South African meteorological sources and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 10°C overnight in Cape Town on August 21, 2026, with official station readings and ensemble guidance showing stabilization around 9–11°C under clear to partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds. This aligns with typical late-winter climatology for the region, where nocturnal radiative cooling under high pressure produces lows in that narrow range rather than deeper cold outbreaks. Market consensus at 91.5% for 10°C reflects traders' aggregation of real-time model runs and early observations confirming no significant deviation. A sharper cold front or unexpected wind shift could push readings below 9°C, while stronger mixing or delayed clearing might hold the minimum at 11°C or higher.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,138結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current forecasts from South African meteorological sources and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 10°C overnight in Cape Town on August 21, 2026, with official station readings and ensemble guidance showing stabilization around 9–11°C under clear to partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds. This aligns with typical late-winter climatology for the region, where nocturnal radiative cooling under high pressure produces lows in that narrow range rather than deeper cold outbreaks. Market consensus at 91.5% for 10°C reflects traders' aggregation of real-time model runs and early observations confirming no significant deviation. A sharper cold front or unexpected wind shift could push readings below 9°C, while stronger mixing or delayed clearing might hold the minimum at 11°C or higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions