Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into June 18 across London, with ensemble spreads favoring values clustered around 16–17°C. Clearer skies and lighter winds under building high pressure allow greater nocturnal radiative cooling than in recent days, while the urban heat-island effect and proximity to the Thames moderate extremes. Model consensus from the UKMO and ECMWF shows limited disagreement on boundary-layer conditions, keeping the 16°C and 17°C outcomes closely matched as traders weigh small differences in dew-point forecasts and cloud timing. Updated runs tomorrow morning will likely tighten probabilities ahead of the market’s resolution on official observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月18日倫敦的最低溫度？
6月18日倫敦的最低溫度？
17°C 45%
16°C 40%
18°C 5.8%
15°C 4.3%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
40%
17°C
45%
18°C
6%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C或以上
<1%
17°C 45%
16°C 40%
18°C 5.8%
15°C 4.3%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
12°C或以下
$405 交易量
<1%
13°C
$694 交易量
1%
14°C
$73 交易量
<1%
15°C
$15 交易量
4%
16°C
$195 交易量
40%
17°C
$64 交易量
45%
18°C
$126 交易量
6%
19°C
$41 交易量
1%
20°C
$65 交易量
1%
21°C
$505 交易量
1%
22°C或以上
$200 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into June 18 across London, with ensemble spreads favoring values clustered around 16–17°C. Clearer skies and lighter winds under building high pressure allow greater nocturnal radiative cooling than in recent days, while the urban heat-island effect and proximity to the Thames moderate extremes. Model consensus from the UKMO and ECMWF shows limited disagreement on boundary-layer conditions, keeping the 16°C and 17°C outcomes closely matched as traders weigh small differences in dew-point forecasts and cloud timing. Updated runs tomorrow morning will likely tighten probabilities ahead of the market’s resolution on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,383結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into June 18 across London, with ensemble spreads favoring values clustered around 16–17°C. Clearer skies and lighter winds under building high pressure allow greater nocturnal radiative cooling than in recent days, while the urban heat-island effect and proximity to the Thames moderate extremes. Model consensus from the UKMO and ECMWF shows limited disagreement on boundary-layer conditions, keeping the 16°C and 17°C outcomes closely matched as traders weigh small differences in dew-point forecasts and cloud timing. Updated runs tomorrow morning will likely tighten probabilities ahead of the market’s resolution on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,383結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into June 18 across London, with ensemble spreads favoring values clustered around 16–17°C. Clearer skies and lighter winds under building high pressure allow greater nocturnal radiative cooling than in recent days, while the urban heat-island effect and proximity to the Thames moderate extremes. Model consensus from the UKMO and ECMWF shows limited disagreement on boundary-layer conditions, keeping the 16°C and 17°C outcomes closely matched as traders weigh small differences in dew-point forecasts and cloud timing. Updated runs tomorrow morning will likely tighten probabilities ahead of the market’s resolution on official observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions