Traders see the July 12 Miami low clustered around 78–83 °F because the latest National Weather Service and global model guidance place the minimum in that narrow band under a subtropical ridge with light easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited nocturnal radiational cooling. Typical July climatology (normal low near 77 °F) is tempered by current sea-surface temperatures near 85 °F and urban heat-island effects that keep overnight readings elevated; any increase in cloud cover or scattered showers could shave a degree or two, while clearer skies would push the low toward 82–83 °F. The tight spread among leading outcomes reflects model consensus on steering patterns and dew-point forecasts, with resolution hinging on the exact 24-hour minimum recorded at official Miami stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月12日邁阿密的最低溫度？
7月12日邁阿密的最低溫度？
82-83°F 27%
80-81華氏度 26%
78-79°F 24%
84-85°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
華氏73度或以下
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
24%
80-81華氏度
22%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
9%
88-89華氏度
1%
90-91°F
<1%
華氏92度或更高
<1%
82-83°F 27%
80-81華氏度 26%
78-79°F 24%
84-85°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
華氏73度或以下
$538 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$629 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$135 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$26 交易量
24%
80-81華氏度
$33 交易量
22%
82-83°F
$17 交易量
27%
84-85°F
$10 交易量
14%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
9%
88-89華氏度
$160 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$180 交易量
<1%
華氏92度或更高
$80 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the July 12 Miami low clustered around 78–83 °F because the latest National Weather Service and global model guidance place the minimum in that narrow band under a subtropical ridge with light easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited nocturnal radiational cooling. Typical July climatology (normal low near 77 °F) is tempered by current sea-surface temperatures near 85 °F and urban heat-island effects that keep overnight readings elevated; any increase in cloud cover or scattered showers could shave a degree or two, while clearer skies would push the low toward 82–83 °F. The tight spread among leading outcomes reflects model consensus on steering patterns and dew-point forecasts, with resolution hinging on the exact 24-hour minimum recorded at official Miami stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 10, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
交易量
$1,808結束日期
2026-07-12市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 8:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the July 12 Miami low clustered around 78–83 °F because the latest National Weather Service and global model guidance place the minimum in that narrow band under a subtropical ridge with light easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited nocturnal radiational cooling. Typical July climatology (normal low near 77 °F) is tempered by current sea-surface temperatures near 85 °F and urban heat-island effects that keep overnight readings elevated; any increase in cloud cover or scattered showers could shave a degree or two, while clearer skies would push the low toward 82–83 °F. The tight spread among leading outcomes reflects model consensus on steering patterns and dew-point forecasts, with resolution hinging on the exact 24-hour minimum recorded at official Miami stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,808結束日期
2026-07-12市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 8:30 PM ETTraders see the July 12 Miami low clustered around 78–83 °F because the latest National Weather Service and global model guidance place the minimum in that narrow band under a subtropical ridge with light easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited nocturnal radiational cooling. Typical July climatology (normal low near 77 °F) is tempered by current sea-surface temperatures near 85 °F and urban heat-island effects that keep overnight readings elevated; any increase in cloud cover or scattered showers could shave a degree or two, while clearer skies would push the low toward 82–83 °F. The tight spread among leading outcomes reflects model consensus on steering patterns and dew-point forecasts, with resolution hinging on the exact 24-hour minimum recorded at official Miami stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions