Trader consensus clusters tightly around 80–83°F for Miami’s July 20 low, reflecting the subtropical marine influence that typically caps overnight cooling near 78–82°F in mid-July. High humidity and frequent cloud cover suppress radiative heat loss, while Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F maintain a warm boundary layer. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or unusual subsidence that would allow deeper drops, keeping sub-76°F outcomes below 35% implied probability. Forecasters from NOAA and local NWS offices highlight steady easterly flow and typical diurnal ranges of 8–12°F, with any variance hinging on tonight’s cloud timing and wind speed. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月20日邁阿密的最低溫度？
7月20日邁阿密的最低溫度？
80-81°F 38%
82-83華氏度 31%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-07-20
華氏71度或以下
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
38%
82-83華氏度
31%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
華氏90度或以上
<1%
80-81°F 38%
82-83華氏度 31%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-07-20
華氏71度或以下
$198 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$158 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$303 交易量
2%
76-77°F
$122 交易量
4%
78-79°F
$28 交易量
16%
80-81°F
$989 交易量
38%
82-83華氏度
$106 交易量
31%
84-85°F
$20 交易量
8%
86-87°F
$180 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$263 交易量
<1%
華氏90度或以上
$173 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 80–83°F for Miami’s July 20 low, reflecting the subtropical marine influence that typically caps overnight cooling near 78–82°F in mid-July. High humidity and frequent cloud cover suppress radiative heat loss, while Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F maintain a warm boundary layer. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or unusual subsidence that would allow deeper drops, keeping sub-76°F outcomes below 35% implied probability. Forecasters from NOAA and local NWS offices highlight steady easterly flow and typical diurnal ranges of 8–12°F, with any variance hinging on tonight’s cloud timing and wind speed. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 18, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$2,542結束日期
2026-07-20市場開放時間
Jul 18, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 80–83°F for Miami’s July 20 low, reflecting the subtropical marine influence that typically caps overnight cooling near 78–82°F in mid-July. High humidity and frequent cloud cover suppress radiative heat loss, while Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F maintain a warm boundary layer. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or unusual subsidence that would allow deeper drops, keeping sub-76°F outcomes below 35% implied probability. Forecasters from NOAA and local NWS offices highlight steady easterly flow and typical diurnal ranges of 8–12°F, with any variance hinging on tonight’s cloud timing and wind speed. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,542結束日期
2026-07-20市場開放時間
Jul 18, 2026, 9:30 PM ETTrader consensus clusters tightly around 80–83°F for Miami’s July 20 low, reflecting the subtropical marine influence that typically caps overnight cooling near 78–82°F in mid-July. High humidity and frequent cloud cover suppress radiative heat loss, while Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F maintain a warm boundary layer. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or unusual subsidence that would allow deeper drops, keeping sub-76°F outcomes below 35% implied probability. Forecasters from NOAA and local NWS offices highlight steady easterly flow and typical diurnal ranges of 8–12°F, with any variance hinging on tonight’s cloud timing and wind speed. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions