**Elevated overnight lows driven by an advancing heatwave position 18–19°C as the clear market leaders for Paris’s June 18 minimum temperature.** Météo-France and supporting models indicate a rapid thermal rise across Île-de-France, with Thursday marking the heatwave peak: daytime maxima near 36°C under clear skies and light winds (5–33 km/h) that limit nocturnal cooling. This setup keeps the overnight low anchored around 20°C, shifting probability mass toward the 18°C and 19°C buckets that together command over two-thirds of market-implied odds. Climatological June minima average 12–13°C, so the current anomaly reflects persistent high pressure and southerly flow rather than typical early-summer variability. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next Météo-France update and any late-model consensus shifts will be the final inputs traders weigh before the official observation is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月18日巴黎最低溫度？
6月18日巴黎最低溫度？
18°C 43%
19°C 28%
20°C 12%
17°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
9%
18°C
43%
19°C
28%
20°C
12%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C或以上
1%
18°C 43%
19°C 28%
20°C 12%
17°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
13°C或以下
$15 交易量
<1%
14°C
$336 交易量
1%
15°C
$253 交易量
1%
16°C
$108 交易量
1%
17°C
$20 交易量
9%
18°C
$175 交易量
43%
19°C
$216 交易量
28%
20°C
$129 交易量
12%
21°C
$113 交易量
<1%
22°C
$110 交易量
1%
23°C或以上
$550 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Elevated overnight lows driven by an advancing heatwave position 18–19°C as the clear market leaders for Paris’s June 18 minimum temperature.**
Météo-France and supporting models indicate a rapid thermal rise across Île-de-France, with Thursday marking the heatwave peak: daytime maxima near 36°C under clear skies and light winds (5–33 km/h) that limit nocturnal cooling. This setup keeps the overnight low anchored around 20°C, shifting probability mass toward the 18°C and 19°C buckets that together command over two-thirds of market-implied odds.
Climatological June minima average 12–13°C, so the current anomaly reflects persistent high pressure and southerly flow rather than typical early-summer variability. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next Météo-France update and any late-model consensus shifts will be the final inputs traders weigh before the official observation is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,024結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Elevated overnight lows driven by an advancing heatwave position 18–19°C as the clear market leaders for Paris’s June 18 minimum temperature.**
Météo-France and supporting models indicate a rapid thermal rise across Île-de-France, with Thursday marking the heatwave peak: daytime maxima near 36°C under clear skies and light winds (5–33 km/h) that limit nocturnal cooling. This setup keeps the overnight low anchored around 20°C, shifting probability mass toward the 18°C and 19°C buckets that together command over two-thirds of market-implied odds.
Climatological June minima average 12–13°C, so the current anomaly reflects persistent high pressure and southerly flow rather than typical early-summer variability. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next Météo-France update and any late-model consensus shifts will be the final inputs traders weigh before the official observation is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,024結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Elevated overnight lows driven by an advancing heatwave position 18–19°C as the clear market leaders for Paris’s June 18 minimum temperature.** Météo-France and supporting models indicate a rapid thermal rise across Île-de-France, with Thursday marking the heatwave peak: daytime maxima near 36°C under clear skies and light winds (5–33 km/h) that limit nocturnal cooling. This setup keeps the overnight low anchored around 20°C, shifting probability mass toward the 18°C and 19°C buckets that together command over two-thirds of market-implied odds. Climatological June minima average 12–13°C, so the current anomaly reflects persistent high pressure and southerly flow rather than typical early-summer variability. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next Météo-France update and any late-model consensus shifts will be the final inputs traders weigh before the official observation is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions