Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on June 18 most likely near 19–21°C, with scattered showers, increased cloud cover, and light northeasterly winds moderating overnight radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of the early tsuyu transition period, reduce the diurnal temperature range and elevate the pre-dawn low compared to clearer nights. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by variable shower timing and urban heat retention, keeping 20°C and 21°C nearly tied in trader probabilities. Updated model runs closer to resolution will refine whether the minimum settles at or above 20°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月18日東京最低溫度？
6月18日東京最低溫度？
21°C 43%
20°C 41%
19°C 8.8%
22°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
9%
20°C
41%
21°C
43%
22°C
7%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C或以上
<1%
21°C 43%
20°C 41%
19°C 8.8%
22°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
15°C或以下
$405 交易量
<1%
16°C
$445 交易量
<1%
17°C
$111 交易量
1%
18°C
$37 交易量
4%
19°C
$132 交易量
9%
20°C
$154 交易量
41%
21°C
$54 交易量
43%
22°C
$3 交易量
7%
23°C
$57 交易量
2%
24°C
$300 交易量
1%
25°C或以上
$200 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on June 18 most likely near 19–21°C, with scattered showers, increased cloud cover, and light northeasterly winds moderating overnight radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of the early tsuyu transition period, reduce the diurnal temperature range and elevate the pre-dawn low compared to clearer nights. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by variable shower timing and urban heat retention, keeping 20°C and 21°C nearly tied in trader probabilities. Updated model runs closer to resolution will refine whether the minimum settles at or above 20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,889結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on June 18 most likely near 19–21°C, with scattered showers, increased cloud cover, and light northeasterly winds moderating overnight radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of the early tsuyu transition period, reduce the diurnal temperature range and elevate the pre-dawn low compared to clearer nights. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by variable shower timing and urban heat retention, keeping 20°C and 21°C nearly tied in trader probabilities. Updated model runs closer to resolution will refine whether the minimum settles at or above 20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,889結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on June 18 most likely near 19–21°C, with scattered showers, increased cloud cover, and light northeasterly winds moderating overnight radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of the early tsuyu transition period, reduce the diurnal temperature range and elevate the pre-dawn low compared to clearer nights. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by variable shower timing and urban heat retention, keeping 20°C and 21°C nearly tied in trader probabilities. Updated model runs closer to resolution will refine whether the minimum settles at or above 20°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions