Nicolás Maduro faces multiple counts in a U.S. District Court case in the Southern District of New York, including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses tied to alleged state-sponsored drug trafficking. Prosecutors have encountered significant evidentiary hurdles in establishing the full scope of these charges, particularly the terrorism elements under the 2006 statute, which has seen limited trial convictions. Recent court proceedings, including the judge’s denial of defense motions to dismiss key charges in late March and the postponement of the next hearing until June 30, have extended pretrial stages without setting a trial date. This timeline, combined with disputes over defense funding sources and the potential for plea negotiations, underpins traders’ 87.5% implied probability that Maduro will not be convicted on every count.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$102,599 交易量
$102,599 交易量
2027-12-31
是
$102,599 交易量
$102,599 交易量
2027-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces multiple counts in a U.S. District Court case in the Southern District of New York, including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses tied to alleged state-sponsored drug trafficking. Prosecutors have encountered significant evidentiary hurdles in establishing the full scope of these charges, particularly the terrorism elements under the 2006 statute, which has seen limited trial convictions. Recent court proceedings, including the judge’s denial of defense motions to dismiss key charges in late March and the postponement of the next hearing until June 30, have extended pretrial stages without setting a trial date. This timeline, combined with disputes over defense funding sources and the potential for plea negotiations, underpins traders’ 87.5% implied probability that Maduro will not be convicted on every count.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
交易量
$102,599結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces multiple counts in a U.S. District Court case in the Southern District of New York, including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses tied to alleged state-sponsored drug trafficking. Prosecutors have encountered significant evidentiary hurdles in establishing the full scope of these charges, particularly the terrorism elements under the 2006 statute, which has seen limited trial convictions. Recent court proceedings, including the judge’s denial of defense motions to dismiss key charges in late March and the postponement of the next hearing until June 30, have extended pretrial stages without setting a trial date. This timeline, combined with disputes over defense funding sources and the potential for plea negotiations, underpins traders’ 87.5% implied probability that Maduro will not be convicted on every count.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$102,599結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro faces multiple counts in a U.S. District Court case in the Southern District of New York, including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses tied to alleged state-sponsored drug trafficking. Prosecutors have encountered significant evidentiary hurdles in establishing the full scope of these charges, particularly the terrorism elements under the 2006 statute, which has seen limited trial convictions. Recent court proceedings, including the judge’s denial of defense motions to dismiss key charges in late March and the postponement of the next hearing until June 30, have extended pretrial stages without setting a trial date. This timeline, combined with disputes over defense funding sources and the potential for plea negotiations, underpins traders’ 87.5% implied probability that Maduro will not be convicted on every count.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions