Recent April CPI data showing a 0.6 percent monthly increase, in line with consensus yet lifting the annual rate to 3.8 percent, anchors trader focus on whether May's headline reading will repeat or moderate amid persistent energy pressures from Middle East geopolitical tensions. With Polymarket-implied odds clustering tightly around 0.5 percent at 36.5 percent and 0.6 percent at 28.5 percent, markets price in balanced risks between fading gasoline effects and potential second-round spillovers into core services. Labor market resilience and shelter trends remain key swing factors ahead of the June 10 release, as traders weigh base effects and seasonal adjustments against the Fed's preferred path to 2 percent inflation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於0.5% 37%
0.6% 35%
0.4% 14%
0.3% 9.8%
≤0.1%
4%
0.2%
6%
0.3%
10%
0.4%
14%
0.5%
37%
0.6%
30%
0.7%
12%
0.8%
5%
≥0.9%
4%
0.5% 37%
0.6% 35%
0.4% 14%
0.3% 9.8%
≤0.1%
4%
0.2%
6%
0.3%
10%
0.4%
14%
0.5%
37%
0.6%
30%
0.7%
12%
0.8%
5%
≥0.9%
4%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市場開放時間: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April CPI data showing a 0.6 percent monthly increase, in line with consensus yet lifting the annual rate to 3.8 percent, anchors trader focus on whether May's headline reading will repeat or moderate amid persistent energy pressures from Middle East geopolitical tensions. With Polymarket-implied odds clustering tightly around 0.5 percent at 36.5 percent and 0.6 percent at 28.5 percent, markets price in balanced risks between fading gasoline effects and potential second-round spillovers into core services. Labor market resilience and shelter trends remain key swing factors ahead of the June 10 release, as traders weigh base effects and seasonal adjustments against the Fed's preferred path to 2 percent inflation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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