Mexico’s latest headline inflation print of 4.45% year-over-year for April 2026, down from 4.59% in March and below consensus, has anchored trader sentiment toward the 4.00%–4.49% range for the full-year 2026 rate. Banco de México’s May survey of economists lifted the year-end 2026 forecast to 4.37% from 4.22%, reflecting persistent core pressures and recent peso volatility while still projecting a gradual descent toward the 3% target. Market-implied odds now assign 46.5% probability to the 4.00%–4.49% bucket, with the adjacent 4.50%–4.99% and 3.50%–3.99% intervals trailing at 27.0% and 24.9%, respectively. Upcoming May and June inflation releases, alongside the next Banxico policy decision, remain the key near-term catalysts likely to influence further repricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4.00%至4.49% 44%
4.50%到4.99% 28%
3.50%至3.99% 16.2%
5.50% 以上 8%
$41,329 交易量
$41,329 交易量
2027-01-08
低於2.50%
5%
2.50%至2.99%
<1%
3.00% 至 3.49%
7%
3.50%至3.99%
24%
4.00%至4.49%
44%
4.50%到4.99%
28%
5.00%至5.49%
15%
5.50% 以上
8%
4.00%至4.49% 44%
4.50%到4.99% 28%
3.50%至3.99% 16.2%
5.50% 以上 8%
$41,329 交易量
$41,329 交易量
2027-01-08
低於2.50%
$494 交易量
5%
2.50%至2.99%
$4,130 交易量
<1%
3.00% 至 3.49%
$25,963 交易量
7%
3.50%至3.99%
$400 交易量
24%
4.00%至4.49%
$503 交易量
44%
4.50%到4.99%
$3,538 交易量
28%
5.00%至5.49%
$1,261 交易量
15%
5.50% 以上
$5,040 交易量
8%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioMexico’s latest headline inflation print of 4.45% year-over-year for April 2026, down from 4.59% in March and below consensus, has anchored trader sentiment toward the 4.00%–4.49% range for the full-year 2026 rate. Banco de México’s May survey of economists lifted the year-end 2026 forecast to 4.37% from 4.22%, reflecting persistent core pressures and recent peso volatility while still projecting a gradual descent toward the 3% target. Market-implied odds now assign 46.5% probability to the 4.00%–4.49% bucket, with the adjacent 4.50%–4.99% and 3.50%–3.99% intervals trailing at 27.0% and 24.9%, respectively. Upcoming May and June inflation releases, alongside the next Banxico policy decision, remain the key near-term catalysts likely to influence further repricing.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
市場開放時間： Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
交易量
$41,329結束日期
2027-01-08市場開放時間
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioMexico’s latest headline inflation print of 4.45% year-over-year for April 2026, down from 4.59% in March and below consensus, has anchored trader sentiment toward the 4.00%–4.49% range for the full-year 2026 rate. Banco de México’s May survey of economists lifted the year-end 2026 forecast to 4.37% from 4.22%, reflecting persistent core pressures and recent peso volatility while still projecting a gradual descent toward the 3% target. Market-implied odds now assign 46.5% probability to the 4.00%–4.49% bucket, with the adjacent 4.50%–4.99% and 3.50%–3.99% intervals trailing at 27.0% and 24.9%, respectively. Upcoming May and June inflation releases, alongside the next Banxico policy decision, remain the key near-term catalysts likely to influence further repricing.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
交易量
$41,329結束日期
2027-01-08市場開放時間
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mexico’s latest headline inflation print of 4.45% year-over-year for April 2026, down from 4.59% in March and below consensus, has anchored trader sentiment toward the 4.00%–4.49% range for the full-year 2026 rate. Banco de México’s May survey of economists lifted the year-end 2026 forecast to 4.37% from 4.22%, reflecting persistent core pressures and recent peso volatility while still projecting a gradual descent toward the 3% target. Market-implied odds now assign 46.5% probability to the 4.00%–4.49% bucket, with the adjacent 4.50%–4.99% and 3.50%–3.99% intervals trailing at 27.0% and 24.9%, respectively. Upcoming May and June inflation releases, alongside the next Banxico policy decision, remain the key near-term catalysts likely to influence further repricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions