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icon for MI-10共和黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

MI-10共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for MI-10共和黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

MI-10共和黨初選獲勝者

Mike Bouchard 79%

羅伯特·盧爾朱拉伊 18.7%

Casey Armitage 2.6%

賈斯汀·柯克 <1%

Polymarket

$14,356 交易量

Mike Bouchard 79%

羅伯特·盧爾朱拉伊 18.7%

Casey Armitage 2.6%

賈斯汀·柯克 <1%

Polymarket

$14,356 交易量

Mike Bouchard

$4,144 交易量

79%

羅伯特·盧爾朱拉伊

$3,519 交易量

19%

Casey Armitage

$2,903 交易量

3%

賈斯汀·柯克

$1,397 交易量

1%

史蒂文·艾略特

$2,392 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mike Bouchard holds a dominant position in the Michigan 10th Congressional District Republican primary, scheduled for August 4, 2026, due to his established name recognition as the son of Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard, military service including Army Airborne and National Guard roles, and recent endorsements from groups such as the Police Officers Association of Michigan. Fundraising strength and allied super PAC support have further reinforced his lead. Robert Lulgjuraj, the primary challenger and a former Macomb County prosecutor who raised over $1 million, faces ongoing ballot eligibility challenges filed in May 2026 over residency statements and petition signatures, which have constrained his momentum. Lesser-known candidates including Casey Armitage, Justin Kirk, and Steven Elliott trail with minimal reported traction or resources. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and recent legal developments in the open-seat contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$14,356
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mike Bouchard holds a dominant position in the Michigan 10th Congressional District Republican primary, scheduled for August 4, 2026, due to his established name recognition as the son of Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard, military service including Army Airborne and National Guard roles, and recent endorsements from groups such as the Police Officers Association of Michigan. Fundraising strength and allied super PAC support have further reinforced his lead. Robert Lulgjuraj, the primary challenger and a former Macomb County prosecutor who raised over $1 million, faces ongoing ballot eligibility challenges filed in May 2026 over residency statements and petition signatures, which have constrained his momentum. Lesser-known candidates including Casey Armitage, Justin Kirk, and Steven Elliott trail with minimal reported traction or resources. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and recent legal developments in the open-seat contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$14,356
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-10共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mike Bouchard" at 79%, followed by "羅伯特·盧爾朱拉伊" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MI-10共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $14.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MI-10共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-10共和黨初選獲勝者" is "Mike Bouchard" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "羅伯特·盧爾朱拉伊" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-10共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.