The Republican Party's commanding position in the Minnesota 7th congressional district reflects the seat's entrenched structural advantages, including an R+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in prior cycles. Michelle Fischbach, first elected in 2020 and re-elected with over 70 percent in 2024, faces limited primary opposition and enters the general election against a Democratic field of three candidates who have yet to demonstrate significant fundraising or visibility ahead of the August 11 primary. Trader consensus prices this outcome at 90.5 percent Republican, consistent with historical patterns in similarly conservative rural districts where turnout dynamics and incumbency effects rarely shift enough to alter results absent major scandals or national realignments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和黨
91%
民主黨
10%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和黨
$827 交易量
91%
民主黨
$3,891 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party's commanding position in the Minnesota 7th congressional district reflects the seat's entrenched structural advantages, including an R+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in prior cycles. Michelle Fischbach, first elected in 2020 and re-elected with over 70 percent in 2024, faces limited primary opposition and enters the general election against a Democratic field of three candidates who have yet to demonstrate significant fundraising or visibility ahead of the August 11 primary. Trader consensus prices this outcome at 90.5 percent Republican, consistent with historical patterns in similarly conservative rural districts where turnout dynamics and incumbency effects rarely shift enough to alter results absent major scandals or national realignments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$4,718結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party's commanding position in the Minnesota 7th congressional district reflects the seat's entrenched structural advantages, including an R+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in prior cycles. Michelle Fischbach, first elected in 2020 and re-elected with over 70 percent in 2024, faces limited primary opposition and enters the general election against a Democratic field of three candidates who have yet to demonstrate significant fundraising or visibility ahead of the August 11 primary. Trader consensus prices this outcome at 90.5 percent Republican, consistent with historical patterns in similarly conservative rural districts where turnout dynamics and incumbency effects rarely shift enough to alter results absent major scandals or national realignments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$4,718結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party's commanding position in the Minnesota 7th congressional district reflects the seat's entrenched structural advantages, including an R+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in prior cycles. Michelle Fischbach, first elected in 2020 and re-elected with over 70 percent in 2024, faces limited primary opposition and enters the general election against a Democratic field of three candidates who have yet to demonstrate significant fundraising or visibility ahead of the August 11 primary. Trader consensus prices this outcome at 90.5 percent Republican, consistent with historical patterns in similarly conservative rural districts where turnout dynamics and incumbency effects rarely shift enough to alter results absent major scandals or national realignments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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