Skip to main content
icon for Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner By-Election Winner
Politics·UK

Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner By-Election Winner

icon for Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner By-Election Winner
Politics·UK

Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner By-Election Winner

Colin Sutton 63%

Martin Schmierer 12.6%

Beth Jones 12%

Christopher John Brown 6.0%

Polymarket
最新

Colin Sutton 63%

Martin Schmierer 12.6%

Beth Jones 12%

Christopher John Brown 6.0%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Colin Sutton

Colin Sutton

$1,473 交易量

63%

icon for Martin Schmierer

Martin Schmierer

$119 交易量

13%

icon for Beth Jones

Beth Jones

$873 交易量

12%

icon for Christopher John Brown

Christopher John Brown

$27 交易量

6%

icon for Mark Rhoades Buckton

Mark Rhoades Buckton

$28 交易量

7%

icon for Matthew Taylor

Matthew Taylor

$39 交易量

9%

icon for Marcus Howard Pearcey

Marcus Howard Pearcey

$27 交易量

1%

A by-election for the Police and Crime Commissioner of the Norfolk Police Area is currently scheduled to be held on July 16, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by the Police & Crime Commissioner for Norfolk (https://www.norfolk-pcc.gov.uk/) and the Broadland District Council (https://www.southnorfolkandbroadland.gov.uk/).The upcoming Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election on 16 July 2026, triggered by the incumbent's resignation, features a fragmented field of seven candidates including Matthew Taylor for the Conservatives, Martin Schmierer for the Greens, Beth Jones for Labour, Christopher John Brown for the Liberal Democrats, Colin Sutton for Reform UK, Mark Rhoades Buckton for Restore Britain, and Marcus Howard Pearcey as an Independent. This spread, combined with the absence of recent public polling and short campaign timelines after nominations closed in mid-June, sustains even trader pricing by dispersing support across party lines and local priorities like crime reduction and constabulary oversight. Late developments such as targeted voter outreach, cross-party endorsements, or shifts in turnout among rural and urban wards could consolidate preferences and alter implied probabilities ahead of the count.

A by-election for the Police and Crime Commissioner of the Norfolk Police Area is currently scheduled to be held on July 16, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by the Police & Crime Commissioner for Norfolk (https://www.norfolk-pcc.gov.uk/) and the Broadland District Council (https://www.southnorfolkandbroadland.gov.uk/).
交易量
$2,587
結束日期
2026-07-16
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2026, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the Police and Crime Commissioner of the Norfolk Police Area is currently scheduled to be held on July 16, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by the Police & Crime Commissioner for Norfolk (https://www.norfolk-pcc.gov.uk/) and the Broadland District Council (https://www.southnorfolkandbroadland.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the Police and Crime Commissioner of the Norfolk Police Area is currently scheduled to be held on July 16, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by the Police & Crime Commissioner for Norfolk (https://www.norfolk-pcc.gov.uk/) and the Broadland District Council (https://www.southnorfolkandbroadland.gov.uk/).The upcoming Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election on 16 July 2026, triggered by the incumbent's resignation, features a fragmented field of seven candidates including Matthew Taylor for the Conservatives, Martin Schmierer for the Greens, Beth Jones for Labour, Christopher John Brown for the Liberal Democrats, Colin Sutton for Reform UK, Mark Rhoades Buckton for Restore Britain, and Marcus Howard Pearcey as an Independent. This spread, combined with the absence of recent public polling and short campaign timelines after nominations closed in mid-June, sustains even trader pricing by dispersing support across party lines and local priorities like crime reduction and constabulary oversight. Late developments such as targeted voter outreach, cross-party endorsements, or shifts in turnout among rural and urban wards could consolidate preferences and alter implied probabilities ahead of the count.

A by-election for the Police and Crime Commissioner of the Norfolk Police Area is currently scheduled to be held on July 16, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by the Police & Crime Commissioner for Norfolk (https://www.norfolk-pcc.gov.uk/) and the Broadland District Council (https://www.southnorfolkandbroadland.gov.uk/).
交易量
$2,587
結束日期
2026-07-16
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2026, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the Police and Crime Commissioner of the Norfolk Police Area is currently scheduled to be held on July 16, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by the Police & Crime Commissioner for Norfolk (https://www.norfolk-pcc.gov.uk/) and the Broadland District Council (https://www.southnorfolkandbroadland.gov.uk/).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner By-Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Colin Sutton" at 63%, followed by "Martin Schmierer" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner By-Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner By-Election Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner By-Election Winner" is "Colin Sutton" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Martin Schmierer" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner By-Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.