Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 87% for the May market, reflecting the absence of any triggering events through May 15 amid high barriers to the specified outcomes. No US-Iran permanent peace deal has emerged, with stalled diplomacy highlighted by President Trump's rejection of Tehran's proposal and warnings that the ceasefire is on life support. Iran shows no leadership change or succession signals, WTI crude remains below $150 despite Middle East tensions, Russia remains focused on Ukraine without NATO incursions, and no US military action against Cuba or official alien confirmations have occurred. With half the month left and no imminent catalysts like summits or escalations, traders anticipate continued stability through May 31 resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於什麼都沒有
$84,809 交易量
$84,809 交易量
什麼都沒有
$84,809 交易量
$84,809 交易量
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
市場開放時間: Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 87% for the May market, reflecting the absence of any triggering events through May 15 amid high barriers to the specified outcomes. No US-Iran permanent peace deal has emerged, with stalled diplomacy highlighted by President Trump's rejection of Tehran's proposal and warnings that the ceasefire is on life support. Iran shows no leadership change or succession signals, WTI crude remains below $150 despite Middle East tensions, Russia remains focused on Ukraine without NATO incursions, and no US military action against Cuba or official alien confirmations have occurred. With half the month left and no imminent catalysts like summits or escalations, traders anticipate continued stability through May 31 resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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