Incumbent Republican Mark Amodei’s February retirement opened Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District for the first time in 15 years, prompting crowded primaries set for June 9. The seat has never elected a Democrat, spans heavily Republican rural counties plus Reno and Carson City, and maintains a clear GOP registration edge. Cook Political Report rates it solidly Republican, and early candidate fields show no Democratic contender with proven crossover appeal. Traders therefore assign the Republican nominee a strong edge heading into the general election, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan baseline and the absence of any recent polling or fundraising data that would narrow the gap before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$13,676 交易量
$13,676 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
74%
民主黨
24%
$13,676 交易量
$13,676 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$10,317 交易量
74%
民主黨
$3,359 交易量
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Amodei’s February retirement opened Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District for the first time in 15 years, prompting crowded primaries set for June 9. The seat has never elected a Democrat, spans heavily Republican rural counties plus Reno and Carson City, and maintains a clear GOP registration edge. Cook Political Report rates it solidly Republican, and early candidate fields show no Democratic contender with proven crossover appeal. Traders therefore assign the Republican nominee a strong edge heading into the general election, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan baseline and the absence of any recent polling or fundraising data that would narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$13,676結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Amodei’s February retirement opened Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District for the first time in 15 years, prompting crowded primaries set for June 9. The seat has never elected a Democrat, spans heavily Republican rural counties plus Reno and Carson City, and maintains a clear GOP registration edge. Cook Political Report rates it solidly Republican, and early candidate fields show no Democratic contender with proven crossover appeal. Traders therefore assign the Republican nominee a strong edge heading into the general election, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan baseline and the absence of any recent polling or fundraising data that would narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,676結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mark Amodei’s February retirement opened Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District for the first time in 15 years, prompting crowded primaries set for June 9. The seat has never elected a Democrat, spans heavily Republican rural counties plus Reno and Carson City, and maintains a clear GOP registration edge. Cook Political Report rates it solidly Republican, and early candidate fields show no Democratic contender with proven crossover appeal. Traders therefore assign the Republican nominee a strong edge heading into the general election, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan baseline and the absence of any recent polling or fundraising data that would narrow the gap before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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