Incumbent Republican Mike Carey faces Democrat Don Leonard in Ohio’s 15th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+5 and has been rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, reflecting its consistent partisan lean and Carey’s prior victories. Both parties completed primaries in May, with Carey advancing uncontested on the Republican side and Leonard securing the Democratic nomination. Trader consensus at roughly 78.5% for Republicans aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and limited competitive signals to date, while the narrower Democratic share accounts for potential national midterm shifts or turnout variables that could narrow the margin in this battleground-leaning district.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$10,501 交易量
$10,501 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
79%
民主黨
19%
$10,501 交易量
$10,501 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$4,609 交易量
79%
民主黨
$5,891 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey faces Democrat Don Leonard in Ohio’s 15th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+5 and has been rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, reflecting its consistent partisan lean and Carey’s prior victories. Both parties completed primaries in May, with Carey advancing uncontested on the Republican side and Leonard securing the Democratic nomination. Trader consensus at roughly 78.5% for Republicans aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and limited competitive signals to date, while the narrower Democratic share accounts for potential national midterm shifts or turnout variables that could narrow the margin in this battleground-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$10,501結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey faces Democrat Don Leonard in Ohio’s 15th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+5 and has been rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, reflecting its consistent partisan lean and Carey’s prior victories. Both parties completed primaries in May, with Carey advancing uncontested on the Republican side and Leonard securing the Democratic nomination. Trader consensus at roughly 78.5% for Republicans aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and limited competitive signals to date, while the narrower Democratic share accounts for potential national midterm shifts or turnout variables that could narrow the margin in this battleground-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,501結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Carey faces Democrat Don Leonard in Ohio’s 15th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+5 and has been rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report, reflecting its consistent partisan lean and Carey’s prior victories. Both parties completed primaries in May, with Carey advancing uncontested on the Republican side and Leonard securing the Democratic nomination. Trader consensus at roughly 78.5% for Republicans aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and limited competitive signals to date, while the narrower Democratic share accounts for potential national midterm shifts or turnout variables that could narrow the margin in this battleground-leaning district.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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