Oregon's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote in May 2026, positioning her against Republican Loran Ayles, who advanced unopposed in substance. This partisan makeup and incumbency edge have driven trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee. A late scandal, health issue, or unexpected national Republican surge could still shift dynamics before the November 3 general election, though the district's voting patterns make such reversals improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$14,621 交易量
$14,621 交易量
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$14,621 交易量
$14,621 交易量
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote in May 2026, positioning her against Republican Loran Ayles, who advanced unopposed in substance. This partisan makeup and incumbency edge have driven trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee. A late scandal, health issue, or unexpected national Republican surge could still shift dynamics before the November 3 general election, though the district's voting patterns make such reversals improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions