With the 2027 Oscars still far off, trader consensus on Best Adapted Screenplay shows a wide-open field where The Odyssey holds the highest implied probability at 27.5 percent on the strength of its prestige source material and expected awards positioning. The Black Ball and The Invite follow closely, reflecting early industry buzz around their narrative scope, while Project Hail Mary, Dune: Part Three, and The Adventures of Cliff Booth draw support from franchise momentum and established creative teams. Guild screenings, critics' circles, and late-2026 release tracking will serve as key swing factors, though the secret-ballot nature of Academy voting leaves room for late shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
The Odyssey 28%
The Black Ball 26%
The Invite 9%
Project Hail Mary 7.8%
$11,965 交易量
$11,965 交易量
2027-03-14
The Odyssey
28%
The Black Ball
26%
The Invite
9%
Project Hail Mary
8%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
7%
The Social Reckoning
5%
Dune: Part Three
5%
Cry to Heaven
5%
Ink
4%
Wildwood
2%
All of a Sudden
<1%
The Whisper Man
<1%
Toy Story 5
<1%
Clarissa
<1%
Saturn Return
<1%
The Odyssey 28%
The Black Ball 26%
The Invite 9%
Project Hail Mary 7.8%
$11,965 交易量
$11,965 交易量
2027-03-14
The Odyssey
$1,207 交易量
28%
The Black Ball
$8,563 交易量
26%
The Invite
$219 交易量
9%
Project Hail Mary
$330 交易量
8%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$118 交易量
7%
The Social Reckoning
$151 交易量
5%
Dune: Part Three
$103 交易量
5%
Cry to Heaven
$160 交易量
5%
Ink
$334 交易量
4%
Wildwood
$154 交易量
2%
All of a Sudden
$121 交易量
<1%
The Whisper Man
$121 交易量
<1%
Toy Story 5
$186 交易量
<1%
Clarissa
$88 交易量
<1%
Saturn Return
$109 交易量
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars still far off, trader consensus on Best Adapted Screenplay shows a wide-open field where The Odyssey holds the highest implied probability at 27.5 percent on the strength of its prestige source material and expected awards positioning. The Black Ball and The Invite follow closely, reflecting early industry buzz around their narrative scope, while Project Hail Mary, Dune: Part Three, and The Adventures of Cliff Booth draw support from franchise momentum and established creative teams. Guild screenings, critics' circles, and late-2026 release tracking will serve as key swing factors, though the secret-ballot nature of Academy voting leaves room for late shifts.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
交易量
$11,965結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars still far off, trader consensus on Best Adapted Screenplay shows a wide-open field where The Odyssey holds the highest implied probability at 27.5 percent on the strength of its prestige source material and expected awards positioning. The Black Ball and The Invite follow closely, reflecting early industry buzz around their narrative scope, while Project Hail Mary, Dune: Part Three, and The Adventures of Cliff Booth draw support from franchise momentum and established creative teams. Guild screenings, critics' circles, and late-2026 release tracking will serve as key swing factors, though the secret-ballot nature of Academy voting leaves room for late shifts.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$11,965結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With the 2027 Oscars still far off, trader consensus on Best Adapted Screenplay shows a wide-open field where The Odyssey holds the highest implied probability at 27.5 percent on the strength of its prestige source material and expected awards positioning. The Black Ball and The Invite follow closely, reflecting early industry buzz around their narrative scope, while Project Hail Mary, Dune: Part Three, and The Adventures of Cliff Booth draw support from franchise momentum and established creative teams. Guild screenings, critics' circles, and late-2026 release tracking will serve as key swing factors, though the secret-ballot nature of Academy voting leaves room for late shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions