Trader consensus on the Polymarket for May 2026 U.S. egg prices centers on the $2.00–$2.25 range at 64% implied probability, reflecting the sharp supply rebound following 2025 avian flu losses. Layer flock sizes have expanded to roughly 308–315 million hens, driving wholesale prices toward multi-year lows near $0.17–$0.39 per dozen and pushing retail averages down to $2.25 in April from $2.35 in March, per BLS data. This oversupply dynamic, compounded by post-Easter demand softening and USDA forecasts of $2.16 for the full year, has anchored probabilities well below 2025 peaks above $6.00. Isolated flu detections remain a swing factor, though current market-implied odds price in limited near-term disruption.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$2.00–$2.25 64%
$2.25–$2.50 28%
$1.75–$2.00 8%
$3.00–$3.25 2.2%
<$1.50
1%
$1.50–$1.75
1%
$1.75–$2.00
8%
$2.00–$2.25
64%
$2.25–$2.50
28%
$2.50–$2.75
2%
$2.75–$3.00
1%
$3.00–$3.25
2%
$3.25–$3.50
2%
≥$3.50
1%
$2.00–$2.25 64%
$2.25–$2.50 28%
$1.75–$2.00 8%
$3.00–$3.25 2.2%
<$1.50
1%
$1.50–$1.75
1%
$1.75–$2.00
8%
$2.00–$2.25
64%
$2.25–$2.50
28%
$2.50–$2.75
2%
$2.75–$3.00
1%
$3.00–$3.25
2%
$3.25–$3.50
2%
≥$3.50
1%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
市場開放時間: May 12, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Polymarket for May 2026 U.S. egg prices centers on the $2.00–$2.25 range at 64% implied probability, reflecting the sharp supply rebound following 2025 avian flu losses. Layer flock sizes have expanded to roughly 308–315 million hens, driving wholesale prices toward multi-year lows near $0.17–$0.39 per dozen and pushing retail averages down to $2.25 in April from $2.35 in March, per BLS data. This oversupply dynamic, compounded by post-Easter demand softening and USDA forecasts of $2.16 for the full year, has anchored probabilities well below 2025 peaks above $6.00. Isolated flu detections remain a swing factor, though current market-implied odds price in limited near-term disruption.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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