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icon for 塞族共和國總統選舉

塞族共和國總統選舉

icon for 塞族共和國總統選舉

塞族共和國總統選舉

薩沃·米尼奇 59%

布蘭科·布拉努沙 36%

拉米茲·薩爾基奇 <1%

伊萬·貝吉奇 <1%

Polymarket
最新

薩沃·米尼奇 59%

布蘭科·布拉努沙 36%

拉米茲·薩爾基奇 <1%

伊萬·貝吉奇 <1%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 薩沃·米尼奇

薩沃·米尼奇

$2,739 交易量

59%

icon for 布蘭科·布拉努沙

布蘭科·布拉努沙

$1,122 交易量

36%

icon for 拉米茲·薩爾基奇

拉米茲·薩爾基奇

$278 交易量

1%

icon for 伊萬·貝吉奇

伊萬·貝吉奇

$269 交易量

1%

icon for Franjo Jukić

Franjo Jukić

$268 交易量

1%

icon for 馬爾科·約爾吉奇

馬爾科·約爾吉奇

$258 交易量

1%

icon for 伊沃·卡梅尼亞舍維奇

伊沃·卡梅尼亞舍維奇

$258 交易量

1%

icon for Ćamil Duraković

Ćamil Duraković

$466 交易量

<1%

icon for Begija Smajić

Begija Smajić

$286 交易量

<1%

icon for 尤蘇夫·阿里法吉奇

尤蘇夫·阿里法吉奇

$294 交易量

<1%

icon for 伊戈爾·巴盧克契奇

伊戈爾·巴盧克契奇

$278 交易量

<1%

icon for 博格丹·約瓦諾維奇

博格丹·約瓦諾維奇

$213 交易量

<1%

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Savo Minić, the current Prime Minister of Republika Srpska and candidate of the ruling Alliance of Independent Social Democrats (SNSD) with coalition backing, leads trader pricing at 58.5% ahead of the October 4, 2026 general election. Branko Blanuša of the Serb Democratic Party (SDS) follows at 35.5%, while other listed contenders remain at negligible levels. The positioning reflects SNSD's institutional advantages and recent performance, including Siniša Karan's narrow 2025–26 victory over Blanuša after repeat voting in disputed polling stations. Key dynamics include the ruling bloc's unified endorsement of Minić, SDS organizational reach in urban centers, and persistent opposition concerns over procedural fairness in prior entity elections. Low turnout patterns and coalition discipline continue to shape assessments of separation potential before polling.

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count.

Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count.

If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$6,728
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Savo Minić, the current Prime Minister of Republika Srpska and candidate of the ruling Alliance of Independent Social Democrats (SNSD) with coalition backing, leads trader pricing at 58.5% ahead of the October 4, 2026 general election. Branko Blanuša of the Serb Democratic Party (SDS) follows at 35.5%, while other listed contenders remain at negligible levels. The positioning reflects SNSD's institutional advantages and recent performance, including Siniša Karan's narrow 2025–26 victory over Blanuša after repeat voting in disputed polling stations. Key dynamics include the ruling bloc's unified endorsement of Minić, SDS organizational reach in urban centers, and persistent opposition concerns over procedural fairness in prior entity elections. Low turnout patterns and coalition discipline continue to shape assessments of separation potential before polling.

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count.

Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count.

If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$6,728
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"塞族共和國總統選舉" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "薩沃·米尼奇" at 59%, followed by "布蘭科·布拉努沙" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"塞族共和國總統選舉" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "塞族共和國總統選舉," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "塞族共和國總統選舉" is "薩沃·米尼奇" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "布蘭科·布拉努沙" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "塞族共和國總統選舉" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.