The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May 27 Monetary Policy Statement and official cash rate decision is shaping trader expectations amid persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East that have lifted oil prices and near-term inflation risks. The central bank held the OCR steady at 2.25 percent in April, citing countervailing forces of weaker domestic demand and spare capacity that are expected to contain medium-term price pressures. Recent survey data show one-quarter-ahead OCR expectations clustered near 2.34 percent, reinforcing the 87 percent implied probability of no change while the modest 11.5 percent chance of a hike reflects vigilance over headline inflation breaching the upper end of the 1–3 percent target band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於No Change 86%
Increase 12%
Decrease <1%
$30,541 交易量
$30,541 交易量
Increase
12%
No Change
86%
Decrease
<1%
No Change 86%
Increase 12%
Decrease <1%
$30,541 交易量
$30,541 交易量
Increase
12%
No Change
86%
Decrease
<1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市場開放時間: Feb 17, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May 27 Monetary Policy Statement and official cash rate decision is shaping trader expectations amid persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East that have lifted oil prices and near-term inflation risks. The central bank held the OCR steady at 2.25 percent in April, citing countervailing forces of weaker domestic demand and spare capacity that are expected to contain medium-term price pressures. Recent survey data show one-quarter-ahead OCR expectations clustered near 2.34 percent, reinforcing the 87 percent implied probability of no change while the modest 11.5 percent chance of a hike reflects vigilance over headline inflation breaching the upper end of the 1–3 percent target band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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