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icon for Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?
經濟艙·經濟政策

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?

icon for Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?
經濟艙·經濟政策

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?

5月 27

7月 7

5月 27

7月 7

Increase 64%

No Change 29%

Decrease 1.9%

Polymarket
最新

Increase 64%

No Change 29%

Decrease 1.9%

Polymarket
最新

Increase

$2,367 交易量

64%

No Change

$381 交易量

29%

Decrease

$501 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s July monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its July 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their July 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent near-term inflationary pressures from elevated oil and fuel prices tied to Middle East developments have lifted March-quarter CPI to 3.1 percent and prompted updated RBNZ projections of a temporary spike toward 4.2 percent, driving the 64.0 percent market-implied probability of an Official Cash Rate increase at the July meeting. With the current 2.25 percent OCR still well below the estimated 3 percent neutral level, traders view the policy stance as stimulatory and expect the central bank to begin normalizing rates as inflation expectations rise, including the two-year measure reaching 2.53 percent in the latest survey. Weak domestic demand and labor-market slack continue to support the 29.5 percent no-change case, while the May 27 Monetary Policy Statement remains the key near-term catalyst that could refine the path for subsequent meetings.

This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s July monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its July 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their July 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$3,249
結束日期
2026-07-07
市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 7:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s July monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its July 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their July 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s July monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its July 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their July 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent near-term inflationary pressures from elevated oil and fuel prices tied to Middle East developments have lifted March-quarter CPI to 3.1 percent and prompted updated RBNZ projections of a temporary spike toward 4.2 percent, driving the 64.0 percent market-implied probability of an Official Cash Rate increase at the July meeting. With the current 2.25 percent OCR still well below the estimated 3 percent neutral level, traders view the policy stance as stimulatory and expect the central bank to begin normalizing rates as inflation expectations rise, including the two-year measure reaching 2.53 percent in the latest survey. Weak domestic demand and labor-market slack continue to support the 29.5 percent no-change case, while the May 27 Monetary Policy Statement remains the key near-term catalyst that could refine the path for subsequent meetings.

This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s July monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its July 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their July 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$3,249
結束日期
2026-07-07
市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 7:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s July monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its July 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their July 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Increase" at 64%, followed by "No Change" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?" is "Increase" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "No Change" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.