US-mediated diplomacy remains the central driver of trader positioning on Russia-Ukraine peace talks, with Ukraine delivering formal proposals to American negotiators in early August for an air ceasefire and broader settlement framework. Russia has signaled openness to new ideas while stating no immediate prospects for resumed negotiations, citing gaps on territory, security guarantees, and NATO-related issues that blocked earlier 2026 rounds in Abu Dhabi and Geneva. Ongoing Ukrainian long-range strikes and Russian aerial and ground operations continue alongside these efforts, with short holiday ceasefires in spring failing to produce momentum. Potential catalysts include upcoming US envoy visits to Moscow and Kyiv plus Russia's September parliamentary vote, which could influence mobilization and bargaining leverage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$349,968 交易量
2026-12-31
9月30日
15%
12月31日
47%
$349,968 交易量
9月30日
$166,591 交易量
15%
12月31日
$164,664 交易量
47%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated diplomacy remains the central driver of trader positioning on Russia-Ukraine peace talks, with Ukraine delivering formal proposals to American negotiators in early August for an air ceasefire and broader settlement framework. Russia has signaled openness to new ideas while stating no immediate prospects for resumed negotiations, citing gaps on territory, security guarantees, and NATO-related issues that blocked earlier 2026 rounds in Abu Dhabi and Geneva. Ongoing Ukrainian long-range strikes and Russian aerial and ground operations continue alongside these efforts, with short holiday ceasefires in spring failing to produce momentum. Potential catalysts include upcoming US envoy visits to Moscow and Kyiv plus Russia's September parliamentary vote, which could influence mobilization and bargaining leverage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
交易量
$349,968結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated diplomacy remains the central driver of trader positioning on Russia-Ukraine peace talks, with Ukraine delivering formal proposals to American negotiators in early August for an air ceasefire and broader settlement framework. Russia has signaled openness to new ideas while stating no immediate prospects for resumed negotiations, citing gaps on territory, security guarantees, and NATO-related issues that blocked earlier 2026 rounds in Abu Dhabi and Geneva. Ongoing Ukrainian long-range strikes and Russian aerial and ground operations continue alongside these efforts, with short holiday ceasefires in spring failing to produce momentum. Potential catalysts include upcoming US envoy visits to Moscow and Kyiv plus Russia's September parliamentary vote, which could influence mobilization and bargaining leverage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$349,968結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated diplomacy remains the central driver of trader positioning on Russia-Ukraine peace talks, with Ukraine delivering formal proposals to American negotiators in early August for an air ceasefire and broader settlement framework. Russia has signaled openness to new ideas while stating no immediate prospects for resumed negotiations, citing gaps on territory, security guarantees, and NATO-related issues that blocked earlier 2026 rounds in Abu Dhabi and Geneva. Ongoing Ukrainian long-range strikes and Russian aerial and ground operations continue alongside these efforts, with short holiday ceasefires in spring failing to produce momentum. Potential catalysts include upcoming US envoy visits to Moscow and Kyiv plus Russia's September parliamentary vote, which could influence mobilization and bargaining leverage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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